979
FXUS63 KOAX 140457
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1157 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler temperatures with highs mainly in the 60s today and
  tomorrow. There is an increasing chance of showers later this
  afternoon and evening, continuing into Tuesday.

- Temperatures quickly warm back up on Wednesday and Thursday
  with afternoon highs reaching back into the 70s and even low
  80s. Winds may be gusty, especially on Thursday.

- Another cold front sweeps through through the region on Friday
  bringing cooler temperatures and increased rain chances into
  the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 256 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

The cold front yesterday brought cooler temperatures to the area to
start the work week. Despite the early afternoon sunshine, high
temperatures remain largely in the 60s to near 70 this afternoon.
Clouds are beginning to enter our area from the southwest this
afternoon. This is indicative of a couple weak disturbances lifting
northeast across the Great Plains over the next day or so. As a
result, rain chances in the form of showers will be on the increase
throughout the remainder of the day into this evening. This is
despite the cold front continuing to move away from the region and
surface high pressure attempting to fill in behind it. Though, that
being the case, expect precipitation amounts to be limited due to
these factors. With increasing cloud cover, temperatures won`t fall
as low as this did this morning, but will remain chilly. Upper 40s
and low 50s will start the day on Tuesday with showers likely across
the region. Showers continue through the morning into the afternoon,
before slowly departing by evening. These showers and associated
clouds will result in even cooler temperatures than this afternoon.
Most will struggle to climb out of the low to mid 60s with a few
locations likely holding onto the 50s.

Strengthening mid-level ridging offers a quick rebound to
temperatures on Wednesday. Sunshine, southerly winds, and highs in
the 70s are likely under the building ridge. This pattern continues
into Thursday as the pattern further amplifies. The 80s are not
quite done yet for the year with many locations expected to meet or
exceed this on Thursday. With the amplified pattern, expect some
gusty winds on Thursday as well. By Friday, a trough and associated
cold front swings east through the region. This will bring cooler
temperatures and increased rain chances to the area once again.
While warm temperatures in the 70s may hold on into Friday
afternoon, cooler temperatures in the 60s return for the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

A few spotty showers will be moving across eastern Nebraska and
western Iowa early this morning. A few vicinity showers may move
into KOFK just prior to the TAF period. A few showers along the
Kansas-Nebraska border are moving to the northeast, and are on
their way toward KLNK. Felt confident enough in precip. at the
terminal to include it in prevailing conditions.

Scattered chances for showers and maybe an isolated rumble of
thunder will be possible from around 12-18Z at KOMA and KLNK,
and 12-00Z at KOFK. Did not have enough confidence in a specific
window of time, so held off on mentioning these chances in
prevailing conditions for now.

Expect ceilings to lower to MVFR by 12Z at the terminals and
remaining in place through the remainder of the forecast period.
May see some IFR conditions toward the end of the TAF period at
KOFK.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Chehak
AVIATION...ANW