472
FZNT25 KNHC 090918
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
418 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...Tropical Storm Rafael is centered near 25.0N 90.8W
at 09/0900 UTC or 230 nm NNW of Progreso Mexico, moving WNW at
5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. Steady
weakening is expected during the next few days. Rafael will
continue moving toward the west-northwest through today. After
that, Rafael is likely to move slowly south-southwestward toward
the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through early next week. Rafael
will move to 25.1N 91.5W this afternoon, 25.4N 92.1W Sun
morning, 25.3N 92.3W Sun afternoon, weaken to a tropical
depression near 24.7N 92.3W Mon morning, become a remnant low
and move to 23.9N 92.5W Mon afternoon, and 23.1N 92.6W Tue
morning. Rafael will change little in intensity as it moves to
21.0N 93.7W early Wed. Looking ahead, moderate to locally fresh
NE winds will build across the basin Wed.

.TODAY...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN...E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON...NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
.WED...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...Fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas
occurring along and to the west of a trough, located from 21N70W
to 27N68W, will continue today and strengthen tonight ahead of a
cold front. Tropical development of this trough, if any, should
be slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles, Turks
and Caicos Islands, the southeastern Bahamas, and eastern Cuba.
There is a low chance of tropical formation in the next 48 hours
and next 7 days. A strong cold front will move southward into the
northern forecast waters today, reaching 23N Sun morning, then
will stall and begin to weaken along 20N Mon. Expect widespread
fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas in N
swell north behind the front through this weekend before
diminishing early next week.

.TODAY...NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt
N of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.SUN...NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt S of 27N, and E 20 to 25 kt N of
27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and E to SE 20 to
25 kt N of 27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
tstms.
.MON...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and SE 15 to 20 kt N
of 27N. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SE 10 to
15 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE...NE winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and N to NE 10 to 15 kt N of
27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and NE 15 to 20 kt N
of 27N. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED...NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.