696
FNUS76 KMTR 111437
FWSMTR

Spot Forecast for 2025 Camp Roberts Fire School...United States Forest Service
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
737 AM PDT Sun May 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak weather system will pass over the region on Monday, which will bring
increasing clouds and increasing west to northwest winds. No rain is currently
expected at the burn site as moisture tapers off quickly over southern Monterey
County. The main feature with this system for the burn site will be the
increasing west to northwest winds throughout the day, likely peaking during the
later afternoon and evening hours. Surface winds look to be 5 to 10 mph during the
morning and climb to about 15 to 20 mph during by the afternoon and evening. Peak
gusts at the surface will likely be around 25 to 30 mph, though a few gusts may
make it to 35 mph. Winds slowly decrease overnight and into Tuesday as the system
exits the region. Another cooler day, similar to Monday, is expected where highs
peak in the upper 60s to low 70s while minRH bottoms out around 29-33 percent.

Looking to Wednesday, the pattern begins to shift. We should see warmer and drier
weather return with high temperatures peaking in the upper 70s to low 80s and minRH
values potentially between 20-30 percent. Guidance seems this trend into Thursday,
where high temperatures increase into the low to mid 80s and minRHs mirror Wednesday.
Currently overnight recovery these nights look to be around 75-85 percent. These
details might change as we get closer to the days.

Friday and Saturday, the forecast may be a few degrees cooler but drier weather
continuing.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max temperature.....68-74.
Min humidity........36-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest winds 6 to 15 mph. Winds will
continue to increase into the evening hours.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West to northwest around 8 to 15 mph.
Marine layer........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....40-44.
Max humidity........90-99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to
                    15 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 20 to 30 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 11 to 16 mph.
Marine layer........None.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy becoming sunny mid to late morning.
Max temperature.....67-73.
Min humidity........29-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest to north-northwest winds 5 to 13 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest to north-northwest around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...K_ROGACHESKI
Requested by...Fred Pena, RXB2(T)
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513694.0/MTR
.DELDT 05/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL fred.pena@usda.gov