River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
551
FGUS53 KKRF 041304
RVFMTB
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1302Z FRI APR 4 2025
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS LWRMOT
: **********************************************************
: *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF ***
: **********************************************************
: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 48 hours of QPF
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T
MOREAU RIVER
JEFFERSON CITY 3 S MO 17.0 2.7 CREST NEAR 15.7 FT 04/06
EARLY AM
GASCONADE RIVER
HAZELGREEN 1 W MO 21.0 1.7 CREST NEAR 19.2 FT 04/06 AM
ROUBIDOUX CREEK
WAYNESVILLE 1 W MO 7.0 3.2 CREST NEAR 6.0 FT 04/05
EARLY PM
BIG PINEY RIVER
FT LEONARD WOOD EAST MO8.0 3.5 CREST NEAR 20.7 FT 04/05 PM
GASCONADE RIVER
JEROME MO 15.0 3.2 CREST NEAR 20.3 FT 04/06
EARLY PM
RICH FOUNTAIN MO 20.0 3.5 CREST NEAR 22.1 FT 04/07 AM
:________________________________________________________________
:JEFFERSON CITY 3 S, MO - MOREAU RIVER HSA - LSX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.7 FT AT 1230Z ON APR 04
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.7 / 2.7
:
.AR :CREST: JCMM7 0406 Z DC202504041302/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 15.7
.ER JCMM7 20250404 Z DC202504041302/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0404 : / 4.3 / 6.2 / 8.1
.E2 : 0405 : / 10.0 / 12.5 / 14.7 / 15.7
.E3 : 0406 : / 14.6 / 10.8 / 8.3 / 7.2
.E4 : 0407 : / 6.4 / 5.8 / 5.2 / 4.6
.E5 : 0408 : / 4.2 / 3.8 / 3.5 / 3.3
.E6 : 0409 : / 3.1
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 0.15 / 0.36 / 0.03 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 4 at 12Z is 0.54 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0404 / 0.44 / 0.38 / 0.18
: 0405 / 0.04 / 0.16 / 0.10 / 0.02
: 0406 / 0.05
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 06 1.37 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:HAZELGREEN 1 W, MO - GASCONADE RIVER HSA - SGF
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.7 FT AT 1215Z ON APR 04
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6
:
.AR :CREST: HZLM7 0406 Z DC202504041302/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 19.2
.ER HZLM7 20250404 Z DC202504041302/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0404 : / 2.3 / 3.8 / 6.7
.E2 : 0405 : / 9.3 / 12.0 / 16.1 / 18.7
.E3 : 0406 : / 19.2 / 17.7 / 15.3 / 13.2
.E4 : 0407 : / 10.7 / 9.8 / 9.0 / 8.1
.E5 : 0408 : / 7.3 / 6.6 / 6.0 / 5.5
.E6 : 0409 : / 5.2
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 0.24 / 0.92 / 0.01 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 4 at 12Z is 1.17 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0404 / 0.77 / 1.01 / 0.68
: 0405 / 0.19 / 0.64 / 0.24 / 0.13
: 0406 / 0.07
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 06 3.73 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:WAYNESVILLE 1 W, MO - ROUBIDOUX CREEK HSA - SGF
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 7.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 14.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.2 FT AT 1230Z ON APR 04
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 3.3 / 3.3
:
.AR :CREST: RBXM7 0405 Z DC202504041302/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 6.0
.ER RBXM7 20250404 Z DC202504041302/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0404 : / 3.2 / 3.9 / 4.9
.E2 : 0405 : / 5.6 / 6.0 / 5.8 / 5.4
.E3 : 0406 : / 4.9 / 4.3 / 4.0 / 3.7
.E4 : 0407 : / 3.5 / 3.2 / 3.1 / 2.9
.E5 : 0408 : / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5
.E6 : 0409 : / 2.5
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 0.08 / 1.30 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 4 at 12Z is 1.38 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0404 / 0.62 / 0.82 / 0.56
: 0405 / 0.13 / 0.51 / 0.26 / 0.10
: 0406 / 0.06
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 06 3.06 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:FT LEONARD WOOD EAST, MO - BIG PINEY RIVER HSA - SGF
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.5 FT AT 1200Z ON APR 04
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 4.5 / 4.0 / 3.7 / 3.5
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 00Z ON 04/05/2025
.AR :CREST: BIGM7 0406 Z DC202504041302/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 20.7
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 15Z ON 04/07/2025
.ER BIGM7 20250404 Z DC202504041302/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0404 : / 5.0 / 8.0 / 12.1
.E2 : 0405 : / 15.9 / 19.2 / 20.7 / 20.7
.E3 : 0406 : / 19.5 / 16.9 / 13.9 / 11.5
.E4 : 0407 : / 9.2 / 7.5 / 6.6 / 6.0
.E5 : 0408 : / 5.5 / 5.2 / 4.9 / 4.7
.E6 : 0409 : / 4.5
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 0.04 / 1.25 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 4 at 12Z is 1.29 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0404 / 0.57 / 0.88 / 0.68
: 0405 / 0.16 / 0.52 / 0.28 / 0.10
: 0406 / 0.05
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 06 3.24 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:JEROME, MO - GASCONADE RIVER HSA - SGF
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.2 FT AT 1245Z ON APR 04
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 2.4 / 3.0 / 3.4 / 3.2
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 04/05/2025
.AR :CREST: JRMM7 0406 Z DC202504041302/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 20.3
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 04/07/2025
.ER JRMM7 20250404 Z DC202504041302/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0404 : / 3.4 / 5.5 / 8.6
.E2 : 0405 : / 11.2 / 14.1 / 16.7 / 18.4
.E3 : 0406 : / 19.7 / 20.3 / 20.0 / 18.9
.E4 : 0407 : / 17.5 / 16.1 / 14.7 / 13.4
.E5 : 0408 : / 12.0 / 10.8 / 9.7 / 8.7
.E6 : 0409 : / 8.0
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 0.03 / 1.03 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 4 at 12Z is 1.06 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0404 / 0.57 / 0.91 / 0.80
: 0405 / 0.17 / 0.51 / 0.28 / 0.11
: 0406 / 0.05
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 06 3.40 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:RICH FOUNTAIN, MO - GASCONADE RIVER HSA - LSX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.5 FT AT 1230Z ON APR 04
:obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 3.2 / 3.4 / 3.5 / 3.5
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 04/07/2025
.AR :CREST: RIFM7 0407 Z DC202504041302/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 22.1
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 09Z ON 04/08/2025
.ER RIFM7 20250404 Z DC202504041302/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 0404 : / 3.7 / 4.0 / 4.5
.E2 : 0405 : / 5.5 / 7.2 / 9.4 / 12.1
.E3 : 0406 : / 15.1 / 17.7 / 19.9 / 21.3
.E4 : 0407 : / 22.1 / 22.1 / 21.6 / 20.6
.E5 : 0408 : / 19.2 / 17.6 / 16.0 / 14.4
.E6 : 0409 : / 12.8
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z
: 0403 / 0.12 / 0.20 / 0.07 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 4 at 12Z is 0.39 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 0404 / 0.46 / 0.67 / 0.47
: 0405 / 0.08 / 0.34 / 0.22 / 0.06
: 0406 / 0.05
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 06 2.35 inches
:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO - Weather Forecast Office
:EAX - NWS WFO Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:LSX - NWS WFO St. Louis, Missouri
:SGF - NWS WFO Springfield, Missouri
:OBS - Observed
:EST - Estimated
:M - Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip - Precipitation
:QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
:MBRFC RLW
:...END of MESSAGE...