216
FNUS75 KMSO 162002
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Sawlog Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
202 PM MDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms will be present Saturday,
cloud cover will also limit how dry Min RHs will become. Showers
increase in coverage around midnight, quickly changing to snow as
precipitation rates intensify. Use caution traveling around the
fire as heavy, wet snow, potentially accumulating 1 to 4 inches
may cause tree branches to fall.

Extended Forecast...The models are slowing the arrival of a
warming and drying trend to potentially Saturday or Sunday.
Expect continued unsettled weather with seasonable to cooler than
normal temperatures.


.SATURDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
  slight chance of thunderstorms.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...20 percent.
* Chance Lightning....25 percent.
* Max Temperature.....58-63.
* Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5-9 mph.
* Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
* Precip Amount.......0.06 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
  thunderstorms in the evening, then rain changing to snow
  overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...80 percent.
* Chance Lightning....30 percent.
* Min Temperature.....33-38.
* Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West around 5 mph in the evening becoming
  variable 2-4 mph.
* Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
* Precip Amount.......0.15-0.36 inches.

.SUNDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Snow in the morning. Rain.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....44-49.
* Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 5-13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
* Precip Amount.......0.11-0.32 inches.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of snow. Lows 27-32. Highs 52-57.
Northwest winds 5-13 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 29-34. Highs 58-63. West winds 5-13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows 29-34. Highs 60-65.
West winds 5-12 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BEC
Requested by...Anya Moline
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513708.5/MSO
.DELDT 05/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtddc@firenet.gov,amoline@blm.gov,2025.sawlog.plans@firenet.gov