Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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837
FNUS75 KMSO 120128
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Big Creek Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
728 PM MDT Sun May 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Unsettled weather will persist through much of the
week. Daily chances for rain showers will exist, along with low
probabilities of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evenings. That
being said, chances for wetting rains will be somewhat low due to
how widely scattered rain will be. The windows for highest
probability for wetting rain is Mon-Wed, then again Fri through
the weekend. Higher confidence exists in cooler temperatures
lasting through the week.


.MONDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning,
  then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
  the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...40 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Max Temperature.....53-58.
* Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 8-12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl increasing to 6500 ft agl in the
  afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 20 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.09 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...20 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Min Temperature.....33-38.
* Max Humidity........77-82 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 6-10 mph.
* Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 15 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.03 inches.

.TUESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning,
  then rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
  afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...50 percent.
* Chance Lightning....15 percent.
* Max Temperature.....48-53.
* Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 6-10 mph.
* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl increasing to 7000 ft agl in the
  late morning and afternoon.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.12 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Allegretto
Requested by...Greg Anderson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513594.3/MSO
.DELDT 05/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gregory.j.anderson@usda.gov