432
FXUS65 KMSO 051835
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
1235 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure ridging builds in through the middle
of next week leading to pleasant and dry weather. High
temperatures will gradually warm, topping out about 15 degrees
above normal by Tuesday and Wednesday. Afternoon breezes of 15-25
mph will be common, diminishing each evening. One exception to the
pleasant conditions will be wildfire smoke increasing later this
afternoon into Sunday for Lemhi County and southwest Montana.

About 60% of ensemble models show an upper level trough and cold
front passage around Friday/Saturday (Oct 11/12th) with increased
winds and a chance of showers. The other 40% of ensembles maintain
a drier westerly flow.


&&

.AVIATION...High pressure ridging builds in through the middle of
next week with warm and dry conditions. Most areas will
experience VFR flying conditions but wildfire smoke is expected
to increase in Lehmi County and southwest Montana this afternoon
through Sunday. This may lead to localized visibility reductions
(especially around KSMN) and mountain obscurations. Diurnal winds
will be common with afternoon gusts of 15-20 kts, diminishing
around sunset. Patchy fog will occur near rivers and waterways
each morning.


&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

$$