


Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
177 FOUS54 KMRX 160532 PFMMRX Point Forecast Matrices National Weather Service Morristown TN 131 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 TNZ017-162000- Tri Cities Airport-Sullivan TN 36.50N 82.41W Elev. 1536 ft 131 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Date Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 70 40 72 50 78 Temp 48 46 59 68 69 58 49 45 42 40 58 69 71 62 55 54 52 51 66 75 78 69 Dewpt 44 43 47 43 42 41 41 40 38 37 43 44 46 48 48 48 48 48 56 59 60 60 RH 86 89 64 40 37 53 74 82 86 89 57 40 41 60 77 80 86 89 70 58 54 73 Wind Dir NE NE NE N N N NE NE NE E NE W W SE SE SE SE SE SW SW SW S Wind Spd 2 2 4 5 8 5 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 9 6 2 Clouds FW FW CL FW CL CL FW FW FW FW FW SC SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Date Sun 10/19/25 Mon 10/20/25 Tue 10/21/25 Wed 10/22/25 EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 58 71 40 66 41 72 46 65 Temp 61 59 70 58 46 40 63 56 45 42 69 62 53 46 62 56 Dewpt 57 55 60 48 41 38 38 39 37 36 45 50 47 45 47 45 PWind Dir S SW W W SE SW SW W Wind Char LT GN LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg Clouds SC B2 B2 SC FW FW FW CL CL FW FW SC SC SC SC FW PoP 12hr 20 70 30 5 5 10 30 10 Rain shwrs S L L C C C Tstms S $$ TNZ071-162000- Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport-Blount TN 35.80N 83.98W Elev. 979 ft 131 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Date Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 75 49 77 56 83 Temp 56 54 65 73 74 64 58 54 51 49 62 74 77 69 62 59 57 57 71 80 82 75 Dewpt 49 47 49 50 49 49 48 45 44 44 49 54 54 55 55 55 54 54 59 60 61 60 RH 77 77 56 44 41 58 69 71 77 83 62 50 45 61 78 87 90 90 66 51 49 60 Wind Dir NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N W W SE S S S S SW SW SW S Wind Spd 6 6 10 10 10 6 8 6 4 2 2 5 4 2 2 2 2 3 6 12 12 10 Clouds FW FW CL FW CL FW FW FW FW SC FW SC B1 B2 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW SC PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Date Sun 10/19/25 Mon 10/20/25 Tue 10/21/25 Wed 10/22/25 EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 64 73 45 71 47 76 51 68 Temp 69 65 72 60 50 45 68 61 51 48 73 67 57 51 65 61 Dewpt 61 59 62 49 44 40 40 41 41 40 51 54 51 49 47 46 PWind Dir S SW NW N SE SW SW W Wind Char GN BZ LT LT LT GN LT GN Avg Clouds SC B2 B2 SC FW FW CL CL FW FW SC FW SC SC SC FW PoP 12hr 40 70 10 0 5 20 30 5 Rain shwrs C L C S C S Tstms S C C $$ TNZ036-162000- Oak Ridge-Anderson TN 36.00N 84.24W Elev. 913 ft 131 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Date Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 75 49 76 55 81 Temp 56 54 65 73 75 65 57 54 50 49 62 73 76 67 60 58 56 56 70 78 81 73 Dewpt 47 45 49 51 50 49 46 44 43 42 48 54 54 54 55 54 54 54 59 60 61 62 RH 72 71 56 46 41 56 67 69 77 77 60 51 46 63 84 86 93 93 68 54 51 68 Wind Dir NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Wind Spd 4 4 5 5 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 5 9 10 5 Wind Gust 14 16 Clouds FW FW CL CL CL FW FW FW FW SC FW SC SC B1 B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW SC PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 5 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Date Sun 10/19/25 Mon 10/20/25 Tue 10/21/25 Wed 10/22/25 EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 63 71 42 71 47 74 49 68 Temp 68 64 70 58 48 43 68 60 50 47 71 65 55 49 65 58 Dewpt 61 60 60 48 42 39 42 42 41 40 53 54 50 47 47 45 PWind Dir SW SW NW SW NE SW W W Wind Char LT GN LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg Clouds B1 B2 B2 SC FW FW FW CL FW FW SC FW SC SC SC FW PoP 12hr 50 80 10 0 5 20 30 10 Rain shwrs C D C S C C Tstms S C S $$ TNZ099-162000- Chattanooga Airport-Hamilton TN 35.03N 85.22W Elev. 688 ft 131 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Date Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 79 53 81 59 85 Temp 61 59 69 77 78 69 62 58 55 53 67 78 81 72 65 62 61 60 72 82 84 77 Dewpt 52 50 49 51 52 54 53 50 48 48 53 56 57 58 57 56 55 55 59 62 63 64 RH 72 72 49 40 40 59 72 75 77 83 61 47 44 61 75 81 81 84 64 51 49 64 Wind Dir N N NE NE NE NE N NE NE NE S S S SE S S S S S S S S Wind Spd 9 10 10 9 10 6 5 4 2 1 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 4 6 10 10 9 Clouds CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW FW FW FW SC B1 B1 FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Date Sun 10/19/25 Mon 10/20/25 Tue 10/21/25 Wed 10/22/25 EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 66 75 46 75 51 78 53 71 Temp 70 66 74 63 52 47 71 65 54 52 75 69 59 53 68 63 Dewpt 62 63 62 50 45 42 41 43 44 43 55 56 54 49 48 47 PWind Dir S W N NE S S W NW Wind Char GN GN LT LT LT GN LT LT Avg Clouds B1 B2 B2 SC CL CL CL CL CL FW SC SC SC SC FW FW PoP 12hr 60 70 5 0 5 20 20 5 Rain shwrs L L C S S S Tstms S C S $$ NCZ060-162000- Tusquitee RAWS-Forestry-Cherokee NC 35.07N 84.12W Elev. 1600 ft 131 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 Date Thu 10/16/25 Fri 10/17/25 Sat 10/18/25 EDT 3hrly 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 UTC 3hrly 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 Max/Min 77 48 77 51 80 Temp 52 50 66 77 74 61 55 52 50 48 64 74 76 66 58 55 53 52 67 77 79 70 Dewpt 48 46 52 52 51 51 51 51 48 46 52 53 54 55 55 53 50 50 56 59 59 60 RH 86 86 61 42 44 70 86 96 93 93 65 48 46 68 90 93 89 93 68 54 50 71 Min/Max RH 42 96 45 93 49 Wind Dir E E NW NW NW NW E E E E SE SW W S SE SE SE SE S SW S S Wind Dir Deg 9 9 31 29 31 30 10 11 11 11 15 23 24 18 15 14 14 14 18 21 19 18 Wind Spd 1 1 1 4 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 2 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 4 Clouds FW FW FW FW CL CL FW SC SC SC FW SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC FW SC SC SC Clouds (%) 15 24 8 6 5 5 19 26 37 28 20 38 62 68 56 27 26 37 18 33 27 29 Vsby 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 ChanceThunder 0 0 0 0 0 Max Mix Hgt AGL Mix Hgt 4000 5000 4400 Max Vent Rt 21400 27400 35100 T Wind Dir N SW S T Wind Spd 4 5 6 ADI 21 27 35 Max LVORI 6 8 7 Stability G B B G G B B G G B B Ceiling 23500 NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Sta Pres 27.92 27.88 27.87 27.90 27.93 27.89 27.87 27.89 27.91 27.90 27.91 Date Sun 10/19/25 Mon 10/20/25 Tue 10/21/25 Wed 10/22/25 EDT 6hrly 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 UTC 6hrly 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Min/Max 59 71 39 72 44 76 48 68 Temp 63 59 70 59 47 40 69 59 48 45 74 60 54 48 67 55 Dewpt 59 55 62 53 43 38 37 40 38 37 50 52 49 46 46 46 PWind Dir S SW NW NW E S W NW Wind Char LT GN LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg Clouds B1 B2 B2 SC FW FW FW CL FW FW SC SC SC SC SC SC PoP 12hr 30 70 10 0 5 10 20 5 Rain shwrs C L C S S Tstms S C This is an experimental product for planning and review purposes only, and is not to be substituted for an official fire weather spot forecast $$