964
FNUS74 KMRX 121140
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for TN-CNF-SZ PACE GAP...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
740 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 12.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON...

Today will be dry and quite warm. Some showers and possibly a
thunderstorm may make it into the area Thursday especially south,
then there will be a better chance for rain over the weekend
including the possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms Saturday
afternoon and night.

Relative humidity values will become quite low this afternoon
with minimum values in the low to mid 20s across most of
the area, and some areas will dip into the 15 to 20 percent range
again. Afternoon winds today will generally be southwest at 5 to
around 10 mph, with some higher gusts.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........Around 22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph with
                    gusts to near 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph increasing to 12 to 18
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........2   2   1   3   3   3   3   3   2   4   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  46  56  63  66  69  72  74  74  74  73  69
RH..............78  68  46  36  32  28  25  23  22  22  23  27
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   6   6   6   7   8   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  12  13  15  16  18  20  18  17  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.7 3.2 4.0 4.5 5.1 4.5 4.1 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   10  12  12  15  16  17  18  18  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the evening, then becoming light late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   6   9   7   13  32  46  47  80  85
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  62  61  60  59  57  56  55  55  54  54  54
RH..............33  36  38  39  40  43  47  52  55  60  63  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  10  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........77  67  79  76  82  81  71  59  46  38  37  37
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............52  54  58  62  64  66  66  68  69  69  67  65
RH..............77  74  70  65  59  56  55  53  49  48  51  53
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  12  12  13  14  14  14  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.3 2.5 1.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   8   6

$$
Forecaster...Lyle Wilson
Requested by...CODY DANIELS
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503642.4/MRX
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL CNFSOUTHZONEFIRE@GMAIL.COM,CHARLES.DANIELS@USDA.GOV