691
FNUS74 KMRX 092116
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for TN-CNF-SZ Pace Gap...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
516 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 10.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

A weak low pressure system crossing the southeast may bring a few
hundredths of an inch of rain early Monday. Otherwise, can expect
light winds, a warming temperature trend, and continued low
minimum RH values in the afternoon through Tuesday at the burn
site.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 18 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........76  69  62  77  75  70  57  34  26  23  8   6
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  45  48  50  53  55  58  60  61  61  60  59
RH..............60  60  54  49  45  41  36  32  28  27  28  30
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  13  14  15  15  16  16  15  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.1 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  13  15  15  15  17  18  16  10

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........67-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........7   7   7   6   5   4   3   4   4   5   5   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  52  50  48  46  45  44  43  43  42  41  40
RH..............35  39  42  47  52  54  59  63  64  66  68  70
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 10 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 13 mph in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............41  45  51  57  61  64  66  68  69  69  67  65
RH..............69  61  52  39  35  30  28  26  25  25  27  30
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   3   6   6   6   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   7   9   10  14  15  15  15  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  12

$$
Forecaster...Kerrie Simmons
Requested by...Cody Daniels
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503642.4/MRX
.DELDT 03/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cnfsouthzonefire@gmail.com,charles.daniels@usda.gov