Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
486
FNUS73 KMQT 072248
FWSMQT
Spot Forecast for Dinner Lake Piles Rx - Day 3...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
548 PM EST Tue Jan 7 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on January 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Surface high pressure ridge will be passing over the
burn site during Wednesday morning, and it will slowly progress
eastward through the day. As a result, expect light west-northwest
winds at ignition time to gradually back to the west-southwest by
evening. Sustained wind speeds through the day will be at or below 5
mph. Expect a high temperature on Wednesday around 16 with minimum
RH near 62 percent. A few light snow showers or flurries will linger
through late morning. Winds will become southerly for Wednesday
night and Thursday. Sustained winds will be under 10 mph, but gusts
may reach up to 15 mph during Thursday. No precipitation is
expected.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated snow
showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 16.
RH..................Min 62 percent.
Dewpoint............5.
33-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 4 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100-3800 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (98.0-244.0).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......2.1 increasing to 4.8.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........90 92 89 83 77 71 64
Weather cov.....ISO
Weather type....SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............11 12 13 14 15 15 13
Dewpoint........6 6 5 6 5 5 5
RH..............79 77 71 68 66 62 71
33 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W
33 ft wind spd..3 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W
20 ft wind spd..2 4 4 4 4 4 4
Wind gust.......6 6 6 6 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.9 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.3
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4 4
VIndx kt-ft/100.17 23 24 23 19 14 10
Ceiling (kft)...2.1 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.8 5.5
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Min -4.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Dewpoint............2 decreasing to -2 overnight, then increasing
to 0 overnight.
33-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph
overnight.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1400-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 100-700 ft AGL
in the late evening and overnight.
Ventilation index...Poor (4.0).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......6.3 increasing to 13 early in the evening, then
increasing 22.
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........56 34 39 38 38 46 40 28 24 27 32 36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............10 8 5 2 1 0 -3 -1 0 0 1 1
Dewpoint........4 4 3 2 1 0 -3 -1 0 0 1 1
RH..............77 84 94 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 97
33 ft wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
33 ft wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 ft wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
20 ft wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 5 5 5
Wind gust.......6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
VIndx kt-ft/100.5 2 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 2 2
Ceiling (kft)...6.3 7.0 13 18 24 23 22 21 21 21 21 21
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 22.
RH..................Min 55 percent.
Dewpoint............3 increasing to 7 in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 8 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (24.0).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......15.
TIME (CST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM
Sky (%).........38 38 38 56 69 77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............2 4 7 14 19 22
Dewpoint........1 2 3 5 7 8
RH..............94 89 84 67 59 55
33 ft wind......S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8
20 ft wind......S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6
Wind gust.......11 11 12 12 12 12
Mix hgt (ft)....200 300 400 300 200 300
Haines index....2 2 3 3 3 4
VIndx kt-ft/100.2 3 4 3 2 3
Ceiling (kft)...15 15 15 15 15 15
$$
Forecaster...Rolfson
Requested by...William Meginley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500213.0/MQT
.DELDT 01/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL william.meginley@usda.gov