Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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FNUS73 KMQT 171147
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Germfask piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
747 AM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Expect antecedent dry air to bring RHs down into the 20
percents by early to mid afternoon as winds pick up from the
southeast/south with time as a warm front approaches from the west.
As the front approaches, expect the RHs to improve late this
afternoon as moisture advects into the area; rainfall arrives
tonight. Expect the winds to die down late tonight once the warm
front passes the area.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Temperature.........27 at ignition...Max 56.
RH..................83 percent at ignition...Min 29 percent.
Dewpoint............23 decreasing to 20 early in the afternoon,
                    then increasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Winds southeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise southeast winds 5 to 15
                    mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 400-2200 ft
                    AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (38) at ignition. Max...good (414.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......21 decreasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 22 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 24 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........15     32     18     31     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      0
Temp............27     38     46     51     54
Dewpoint........22     22     20     19     24
RH..............83     53     36     29     31
33 ft wind......SE 5   SE 12  S 14   S 14   SE 15
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 10  S 11   S 11   SE 12
Wind gust.......8      14     17     17     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    1600   2200   1700
VIndx kt-ft/100.4      11     26     41     31
Ceiling (kft)...22     19     18     25     24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then rain showers
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 95 percent.
Dewpoint............30 increasing to 42.
33-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1000 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (54.0-164.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.30 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......21 decreasing to 0.7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........53     75     78     85     88     86
Weather cov.....              S CHC  LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     20     60     100    90
Chc of thdr (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
Temp............54     48     45     46     45     45
Dewpoint........29     32     35     38     42     42
RH..............38     54     69     74     87     90
33 ft wind......SE 15  SE 15  SE 10  S 10   S 10   S 10
20 ft wind......SE 12  SE 12  SE 8   S 8    S 8    S 8
Wind gust.......18     18     17     19     19     18
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   400    400    500    400    400
VIndx kt-ft/100.16     5      6      7      7      8
Ceiling (kft)...21     6.7    5.0    3.9    2.5    1.0

$$
Forecaster...TAP
Requested by...Matthew Glenn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510846.0/MQT
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew_glenn@fws.gov