Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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318
FNUS73 KMQT 281218
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Ensign RX...Forest Service
National Weather Service Marquette MI
818 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A mix of freezing rain and rain will move in later this morning with
a winter storm system. Min RH values will be above 70%, and southeasterly
winds will shift to the east at 5 to 10 mph.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain and
                    light freezing rain late in the morning, then
                    rain likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Temperature.........30 at ignition...Max 35.
RH..................86 percent at ignition...Min 70 percent.
Dewpoint............28 increasing to 31 late in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Winds east at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds around 8 mph.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 700-1200 ft
                    AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (88) at ignition. Max...fair (150.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.06 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......2.3 decreasing to 0.7.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  88  91  93  92  93  91  90  85
Weather cov.....CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....FZR FZR RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  30  40  50  50  60  60  70
Temp............30  31  33  33  34  34  35  35  35
Dewpoint........26  27  29  29  30  31  31  32  31
RH..............86  85  85  86  87  87  87  87  87
33 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
33 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Wind gust.......12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.9
VIndx kt-ft/100.9   11  15  15  15  15  11  12  11
Ceiling (kft)...2.3 1.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain in the evening.
                    Chance of thunderstorms through the night.
                    Freezing rain overnight.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Temperature.........Min 30.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Dewpoint............29.
33-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the northeast
                    8 to 10 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......600-1200 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (69.0-193.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.60 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......0.7 decreasing to 0.6 early in the evening,
                    then decreasing to 0.5 late in the evening
                    increasing to 0.6 late in the evening
                    decreasing to 0.5 decreasing to 0.4 early in
                    the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87  86  89  89  89  89  89  90  90  89  88  87
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR
Tstm cov........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70  80  90  100 100 100 90  90  70  60  60  50
Temp............35  35  34  33  32  32  32  32  32  31  31  31
Dewpoint........31  31  31  30  30  30  29  29  29  28  28  28
RH..............87  87  88  90  91  90  90  89  89  88  88  88
33 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
33 ft wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8
Wind gust.......13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
VIndx kt-ft/100.8   7   16  18  19  19  18  16  16  15  15  15
Ceiling (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of light
                    freezing rain and slight chance of rain showers
                    in the morning, then chance of rain showers and
                    snow showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Temperature.........Max 38.
RH..................Min 71 percent.
Dewpoint............28.
33-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1200-2500 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair to good (145.0-369.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.06 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......0.6 increasing to 1.0.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  86  82  87  83  87  88  88  87  83  79  77
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  SW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............31  31  30  30  32  34  34  35  37  36  36  36
Dewpoint........27  27  29  28  27  28  29  29  28  28  27  27
RH..............87  85  93  90  85  79  79  77  72  71  71  71
33 ft wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
33 ft wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Wind gust.......13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4
VIndx kt-ft/100.15  17  19  24  26  30  33  35  36  37  36  33
Ceiling (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

$$
Forecaster...TDUD
Requested by...John Foshag
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508331.0/MQT
.DELDT 03/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.foshag@usda.gov