Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
944
FNUS73 KMQT 261942
FWSMQT
Spot Forecast for Dutch Mill...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
342 PM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Clouds build throughout the day on Sunday as the warm front of an
approaching low pressure slowly moves over us throughout the day and
evening. While southerly flow will initially be light early in the
day, expect it to pick up Sunday through Monday as the low approaches
from the Northern Plains towards western Lake Superior. While the
forecast calls for min RHs down around 40 percent, I wouldn`t be
surprised if we get down into the 30 percents given the soils. Expect
highs in the 50s on Sunday to give way to the lower 60s by Monday as
the warm front moves in. There could be some issues with ventilation
as the warm front goes through the area, with a strong inversion
setting up over the lower portions of the atmosphere by Monday. The
inversion over the area will be weakest on Sunday, when the effects
of the departing high pressure will still be felt. Rain showers and
thunderstorms could begin to impact the spot late Monday, and could
potentially continue on-and-off throughout the overnight hours. The
cold front could potentially bring a line of showers and
thunderstorms over the area early Tuesday morning before drier and
cooler weather is seen behind it.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 55.
RH..................60 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent.
Dewpoint............32 decreasing to 29 late in the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Winds South at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
South winds 7 to 12 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1600-2300
ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Fair (144) at ignition. Max...good (309.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25 decreasing to 14 early in the afternoon,
then increasing to 17 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 9.5 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57 64 73 78 74 72 70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............47 52 53 54 54 53 52
Dewpoint........34 33 32 31 31 30 29
RH..............60 48 45 42 41 41 41
33 ft wind dir..S S S S S S S
33 ft wind spd..7 10 10 10 12 12 12
20 ft wind dir..S S S S S S S
20 ft wind spd..6 8 8 8 10 10 10
Wind gust.......8 12 12 12 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1
VIndx kt-ft/100.14 21 22 25 30 31 29
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 14 17 10 11 9.5
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
Temperature.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 35 after 3 am.
33-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1800 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (43.0-229.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......9.5 decreasing to 8.5 early in the evening,
then decreasing to 7.3 early in the evening
increasing to 8.5 late in the evening
increasing to 9.5.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........63 54 66 70 73 75 73 72 70 67 65 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 10 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 10 0 0
Temp............51 50 49 46 45 43 43 42 42 42 42 42
Dewpoint........30 30 30 31 33 34 34 34 34 35 35 36
RH..............43 45 47 56 62 70 72 73 74 75 77 79
33 ft wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
33 ft wind spd..10 10 10 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 ft wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 ft wind spd..8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
Wind gust.......12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
VIndx kt-ft/100.23 9 6 6 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 5
Ceiling (kft)...9.5 8.5 7.3 8.5 9.5 9.5
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
Temperature.........Max 61.
RH..................Min 61 percent.
Dewpoint............38 increasing to 43 late in the morning.
33-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 29
mph increasing to 15 to 16 mph with gusts to
around 30 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 12 mph with gusts to around
23 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 24 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2000 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (53.0-529.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......MISSING.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58 54 52 52 53 53 62 72 81 79 76 74
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
Temp............42 42 44 48 51 55 56 56 56 56 55 56
Dewpoint........36 37 38 39 40 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
RH..............80 82 80 71 66 64 62 61 62 62 62 63
33 ft wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
33 ft wind spd..7 7 7 13 13 13 15 15 15 16 16 16
20 ft wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13 13
Wind gust.......12 12 12 20 20 20 23 23 23 24 24 24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.7
VIndx kt-ft/100.5 6 6 13 23 34 43 49 51 53 51 47
Ceiling (kft)...
$$
Forecaster...TAP
Requested by...Cory Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511867.0/MQT
.DELDT 04/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cory.r.henry@usda.gov