Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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004
FNUS53 KMQT 211002
FWFMQT

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025



.DISCUSSION...

Despite high pressure today, lingering surface moisture will keep
minimum RHs at or above 50 percent today. Expect light south to
southwest winds around 5 mph, though lake breeze circulations may
make wind direction variable in the afternoon. An approaching system
will lead to chances of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day
Friday with chances of thunderstorms 40 to 50 percent. Expect
precipitation totals to be around a third of an inch, though could
be locally higher with heavier downpours. Expect southwest winds
around 5-10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph (except the Keweenaw, which
could see gusts up to 25 mph). The moist conditions will keep
minimum RHs in the 60s percent range and above Friday.


MIZ001-003-221200-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....73-78 inland to around 70 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent inland to 68 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast by
                    mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms by midnight.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 6
                    to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.01-0.11 inch.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........72-77 percent.
20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph.
PCPN amount.........0.13-0.46 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and
                    0.04-0.44 inch over Isle Royale.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.

$$

MIZ002-009-084-221200-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025 /501 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025/

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent inland to 63 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    late. A slight chance of thunderstorms late.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent inland to 87 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
Chance of thunder...13 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.08-0.66 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...43 percent.

$$

MIZ004-005-221200-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent inland to 63 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to
                    11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    late. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-99 percent inland to 89 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southwest 7
                    to 12 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
                    chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance
                    of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.06-0.51 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...44 percent.

$$

MIZ010-011-221200-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
501 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 mph or less increasing to 5 to 10
                    mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph through midnight.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
                    chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance
                    of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........67-72 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.04-0.20 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...39 percent.

$$

MIZ012-221200-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
501 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent inland to 67 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to 11
                    mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...23 percent.

$$

MIZ006-007-085-221200-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 76 inland to around 70 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent inland to 77 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to
                    11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent inland to 90 percent at the
                    shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 6
                    to 11 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.41 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...27 percent.

$$

MIZ013-221200-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to 11
                    mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
                    thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.

$$

MIZ014-095-221200-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
                    11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
Min humidity........62-67 percent inland to 71 percent at the
                    shore.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.

$$

MIZ096-097-221200-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 6
                    to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph through midnight.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.

$$

MIZ088-221200-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

$$

MIZ086-087-221200-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
601 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 77 inland to around 69 at the shore.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog by midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph through midnight.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    and thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 54 to 59 inland to around 63 at the shore. Highs
69 to 74. West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows
around 51 inland to around 57 at the shore. Highs 61 to 66.
Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows 45 to 50 inland to around 54 at the shore. Highs 59 to 64.
Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 37 to 42 inland to around 53 at the
shore. Highs 64 to 69.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 48 inland to around 56 at the
shore. Highs around 71.

.Outlook for Thu Aug 28 through Wed Sep  3...expect below normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation.

$$

...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................

The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:

                        Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/    Site   /    Height /  Winds   /    Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE  / 3200  / SW 3    /   96 (P)
200301 /       KENTON  / 2900  / S 5     /   145 (F)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS  / 3100  / S 4     /   124 (P)
201004 /     MUNISING  / 1600  / NE 4    /   64 (P)
201002 /     DOE LAKE  / 3600  / SE 4    /   144 (F)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE  / 3600  / SE 4    /   144 (F)
200703 /        GWINN  / 2900  / S 4     /   116 (P)
200903 /    LABRANCHE  / 3000  / SW 3    /   90 (P)
200503 /       PELKIE  / 3000  / S 4     /   120 (P)
201504 /         RACO  / 3600  / E 4     /   144 (F)
200802 /    RANDVILLE  / 3000  / SW 3    /   90 (P)
201401 /       REXTON  / 3800  / SE 3    /   114 (P)
201505 /      RUDYARD  / 4400  / NE 4    /   176 (F)
201202 /        SENEY  / 3900  / SE 3    /   117 (P)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE  / 4200  / E 3     /   126 (P)
201102 /   STONINGTON  / 3200  / S 4     /   128 (P)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD  / 3500  / S 5     /   175 (F)
200103 /   WATERSMEET  / 3300  / S 5     /   165 (F)
       /DRUMND ISLAND  / 2900  / E 4     /   116 (P)
       /     KEWEENAW  / 1800  / SE 4    /   72 (P)
201506 /   TROUT LAKE  / 4400  / NE 4    /   176 (F)

THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Fri...

                        Mixing  Transport  Ventilation
WIMS ID/    Site   /    Height /  Winds   /    Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE  / 3500  / W 12    /   420 (G)
200301 /       KENTON  / 3000  / W 11    /   330 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS  / 3200  / W 12    /   384 (G)
201004 /     MUNISING  / 1900  / SW 8    /   152 (F)
201002 /     DOE LAKE  / 3500  / SW 12   /   420 (G)
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE  / 3300  / SW 12   /   396 (G)
200703 /        GWINN  / 3300  / W 12    /   396 (G)
200903 /    LABRANCHE  / 3300  / W 12    /   396 (G)
200503 /       PELKIE  / 3100  / W 13    /   403 (G)
201504 /         RACO  / 3000  / SW 13   /   390 (G)
200802 /    RANDVILLE  / 3500  / W 11    /   385 (G)
201401 /       REXTON  / 2400  / SW 16   /   384 (G)
201505 /      RUDYARD  / 3100  / SW 17   /   527 (G)
201202 /        SENEY  / 3400  / SW 12   /   408 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE  / 3600  / W 12    /   432 (G)
201102 /   STONINGTON  / 2800  / SW 12   /   336 (G)
200102 /    WAKEFIELD  / 2800  / W 12    /   336 (G)
200103 /   WATERSMEET  / 2800  / W 13    /   364 (G)
       /DRUMND ISLAND  / 2400  / W 17    /   408 (G)
       /     KEWEENAW  / 1500  / W 18    /   270 (F)
201506 /   TROUT LAKE  / 2700  / SW 17   /   459 (G)

Note:  Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
       Transport winds are in miles per hour

.....................................................................

The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.

WIMS ID/      Site/    Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 /    WAUSAUKEE/  75/  64/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
200301 /       KENTON/  75/  59/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/  75/  59/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
201004 /     MUNISING/  69/  77/   3/   4/   N/0.00
201002 /     DOE LAKE/  73/  68/   2/   3/   S/0.00
201103 /  HIGH BRIDGE/  74/  66/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
200703 /        GWINN/  72/  65/   2/   4/   S/0.00
200903 /    LABRANCHE/  74/  63/   2/   3/   S/0.00
200503 /       PELKIE/  76/  59/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
201504 /         RACO/  74/  67/   2/   3/   N/0.00
200802 /    RANDVILLE/  75/  58/   2/   4/  SW/0.00
201401 /       REXTON/  75/  66/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
201505 /      RUDYARD/  76/  63/   2/   3/   N/0.00
201202 /        SENEY/  74/  67/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/  74/  66/   1/   2/  NW/0.00
201102 /   STONINGTON/  74/  67/   3/   4/  SW/0.00
200102 /    WAKEFIELD/  75/  58/   3/   4/  SW/0.00
200103 /   WATERSMEET/  74/  58/   3/   4/  SW/0.00
       /DRUMND ISLAND/  74/  64/   2/   4/   S/0.00
       /     KEWEENAW/  72/  66/   3/   4/  SW/0.00
201506 /   TROUT LAKE/  75/  64/   2/   3/  SW/0.00
$$

WFO MQT