Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
902 FNUS53 KMQT 190822 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 ...WARM TODAY, COOL FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION: One more very warm day is in store for us as high pressure ridging slowly gives way to a cool front to our west. While mostly sunny skies will allow temperatures to get into the low to possibly mid 80s today, with more moisture advecting in ahead of the cool front, expect min RHs to only get down into the upper to maybe mid 30 percents this afternoon. In addition, fairly light southerly flow is still expected throughout the day, limiting fire weather concerns. Expect the cool front to bring rain showers and thunderstorms across the area this evening through Friday from west to east. While not much rainfall is expected (0.10 to 0.30 inches in general), some spots may `luck` out and receive a local downpour, bringing very localized soaking rainfall to that spot. With the additional moisture in the air tonight, expect the area to once again make a full RH recovery during the overnight hours. Expect the rainfall to become limited to mostly the east half Friday, with skies clearing behind the front, but temperatures tomorrow remaining cooler, only getting into the 70s. We could see some frequent lightning with the storms early this evening over the far west, in addition to some isolated strong winds and large hail too. We also have a very low (2% or less) of seeing this over the east half too on Friday, but conditions are not as ideal. MIZ001-003-200830- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....78-83 inland to around 77 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........40-45 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast to south 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1 until 1800, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.05-0.28 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and 0.04-0.18 inch over Isle Royale. LAL.................3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms through mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....73-78. Min humidity........67-72 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1700, then 1. $$ MIZ002-009-084-200830- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 /322 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........40-45 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1 until 1900, then 2. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........96-100 percent inland to 88 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through midnight. PCPN amount.........0.10-0.67 inch. LAL.................3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms through early afternoon. A slight chance of rain showers through mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........55-60 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................2 until 1400, then 1. $$ MIZ004-005-200830- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....79-84. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.51 inch. LAL.................2 until 2300, then 3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........65-70 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................3. $$ MIZ010-011-200830- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 322 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy. Max temperature.....Around 81. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........0.29-0.77 inch. LAL.................3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. Min humidity........59-64 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 3 to 8 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch. Hours of Sun........7. LAL.................3. $$ MIZ012-200830- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 322 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........39-44 percent inland to 50 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph increasing to 8 to 13 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of rain showers through midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........0.27-0.52 inch. LAL.................1 until 2300, then 3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........61-66 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch. Hours of Sun........6. LAL.................3. $$ MIZ006-007-085-200830- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....Around 81. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast to south 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.39 inch. LAL.................1 until 2300, then 2 until 0200, then 3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74. Min humidity........74-79 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.20 inch. Hours of Sun........4. LAL.................3. $$ MIZ013-200830- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........42-47 percent inland to 53 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast to south 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........8. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers through midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer. Max humidity........97-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast to south 3 to 8 mph. PCPN amount.........0.10-0.48 inch. LAL.................1 until 2300, then 2 until 0200, then 3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming partly cloudy by the afternoon. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74. Min humidity........76-81 percent. 20-foot winds.......South to southwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.15 inch. Hours of Sun........5. LAL.................3. $$ MIZ014-095-200830- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....Around 79 inland to around 73 at the shore. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........41-46 percent inland to 58 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........9. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer. Max humidity........93-98 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast to south 3 to 8 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.14 inch. LAL.................1 until 0200, then 2 until 0500, then 3. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through mid afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........79-84 percent. 20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.38 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................3 until 1100, then 2 until 1400, then 3. $$ MIZ096-097-200830- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........47-52 percent inland to 56 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East to southeast 3 to 8 mph increasing to 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........93-98 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 3 to 8 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........74-79 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.08-0.35 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................2 until 1700, then 3. $$ MIZ088-200830- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy late. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........96-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 3 to 8 mph. PCPN amount.........None. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........68-73 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2. $$ MIZ086-087-200830- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 422 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early. Max temperature.....Around 81. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing from the southeast to south to 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........10. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy after midnight. A slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74. Min humidity........71-76 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.05-0.31 inch. Hours of Sun........3. LAL.................2 until 1400, then 3. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Lows 51 to 56 inland to around 60 at the shore. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast to south 4 to 9 mph. .SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows 52 to 57 inland to around 59 at the shore. Highs 66 to 71. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts up to around 20 mph over the Keweenaw. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance of rain 40 percent. Lows 45 to 50 inland to around 54 at the shore and far east. Highs 64 to 69. North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to around 20 mph over the Keweenaw. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Lows around 47 inland to around 54 at the shore. Highs 65 to 70. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Chance of rain 30 percent. Lows 45 to 50 inland to around 54 at the shore. Highs 63 to 68. .Outlook for Thu Sep 26 through Wed Oct 2...expect above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 4 LOW / 5300 / S 16 / 848 (E) 200301 / KENTON/ 5 MODERATE / 5200 / S 20 / 1040 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 5 MODERATE / 5300 / S 20 / 1060 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 5 MODERATE / 3400 / S 18 / 612 (E) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4200 / S 17 / 714 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE / 4100 / S 16 / 656 (E) 200703 / GWINN/ 4 LOW / 4600 / S 18 / 828 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 4700 / S 16 / 752 (E) 200503 / PELKIE/ 5 MODERATE / 5900 / S 18 / 1062 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 3 VERY LOW / 5800 / S 17 / 986 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 4 LOW / 5100 / S 19 / 969 (E) 201401 / REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 5200 / S 16 / 832 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 6000 / S 14 / 840 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 4 LOW / 5000 / S 19 / 950 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5400 / S 19 / 1026 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 5 MODERATE / 3700 / S 13 / 481 (G) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 4700 / S 27 / 1269 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 5100 / S 23 / 1173 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 4 LOW / 3600 / S 12 / 432 (G) / KEWEENAW/ 5 MODERATE / 2400 / S 18 / 432 (G) 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5700 / S 14 / 798 (E) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Fri... Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 2 VERY LOW / 4000 / SW 10 / 400 (G) 200301 / KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 4500 / W 12 / 540 (G) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW / 5200 / W 12 / 624 (E) 201004 / MUNISING/ 2 VERY LOW / 2700 / S 27 / 729 (E) 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 2 VERY LOW / 3100 / S 26 / 806 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 2 VERY LOW / 3100 / S 26 / 806 (E) 200703 / GWINN/ 2 VERY LOW / 3500 / SW 18 / 630 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 2 VERY LOW / 3500 / S 14 / 490 (G) 200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 5500 / W 12 / 660 (E) 201504 / RACO/ 3 VERY LOW / 3300 / S 28 / 924 (E) 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 2 VERY LOW / 2700 / SW 10 / 270 (F) 201401 / REXTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 3200 / S 28 / 896 (E) 201505 / RUDYARD/ 3 VERY LOW / 3700 / S 26 / 962 (E) 201202 / SENEY/ 2 VERY LOW / 3100 / S 28 / 868 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 2 VERY LOW / 3100 / S 29 / 899 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON/ 2 VERY LOW / 3300 / S 24 / 792 (E) 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 4 LOW / 5400 / W 12 / 648 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 4 LOW / 5100 / W 13 / 663 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND/ 3 VERY LOW / 2600 / SW 12 / 312 (G) / KEWEENAW/ 3 VERY LOW / 2300 / W 11 / 253 (F) 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 3100 / S 27 / 837 (E) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 81/ 42/ 7/ 10/ S/0.00 200301 / KENTON/ 81/ 40/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 82/ 39/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 201004 / MUNISING/ 76/ 46/ 8/ 11/ S/0.00 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 78/ 43/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 78/ 44/ 7/ 10/ S/0.00 200703 / GWINN/ 79/ 43/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 78/ 46/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 200503 / PELKIE/ 84/ 39/ 7/ 12/ S/0.00 201504 / RACO/ 80/ 47/ 7/ 10/ S/0.00 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 79/ 44/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 201401 / REXTON/ 78/ 53/ 7/ 10/ S/0.00 201505 / RUDYARD/ 80/ 48/ 6/ 9/ SE/0.00 201202 / SENEY/ 79/ 45/ 7/ 11/ S/0.00 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 79/ 46/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 201102 / STONINGTON/ 77/ 52/ 7/ 10/ S/0.00 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 80/ 48/ 9/ 15/ S/0.00 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 79/ 43/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 77/ 54/ 4/ 8/ SE/0.00 / KEWEENAW/ 79/ 48/ 7/ 12/ SE/0.00 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 78/ 50/ 6/ 8/ S/0.00 $$ TAP