Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
238
FNUS53 KMQT 161001
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies this morning give way to clouds and eventually
rain across much of the U.P. tonight into Friday morning, with the
best chances and highest rainfall amounts expected near Lake
Superior and in the Keweenaw (up to 0.25 to potentially even 0.50
inch). While winds may pick up a little by this afternoon and RHs
drop down into the 40 percents, no fire weather concerns are
expected today. Expect excellent RH recoveries tonight. Additional
rain showers could be seen the rest of this weekend, particularly
over the east half where rain chances are best.
MIZ001-003-171200-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A slight
chance of light rain by early afternoon. Light
rain likely late. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch on the Keweenaw
Peninsula...and around 0.15 inch over Isle
Royale.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Light rain. Chance of rain near 100
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph through midnight. Gusts up to
25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.16-0.36 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and
0.14-0.21 inch over Isle Royale.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ002-009-084-171200-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /501 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy. A chance of
light rain by late morning. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.09 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain early in the
evening, then light rain likely by midnight. A
chance of light rain late. Chance of rain 70
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.05-0.22 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 40 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ004-005-171200-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of
light rain by mid afternoon. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Light rain through midnight, then a
chance of light rain late. Chance of rain near
100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent inland to 90 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph increasing to 9 to 14 mph
late. Gusts up to 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.17-0.47 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 40 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........68-73 percent inland to 64 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ010-011-171200-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
501 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of
light rain by late morning. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by
mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain early in the
evening, then light rain likely by midnight. A
chance of light rain late. Chance of rain 70
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.14-0.38 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ012-171200-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
501 AM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A
chance of light rain late. Chance of rain 30
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph shifting to the south 6
to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain early in the
evening, then rain by midnight. A chance of
light rain late. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.22-0.36 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
through early afternoon. Chance of showers 20
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ006-007-085-171200-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Patchy fog early. A slight chance of light rain
late. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain early in the
evening, then rain by midnight. Chance of rain
near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph increasing to south 9 to
14 mph late. Gusts up to 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.32-0.66 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around
30 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.01-0.12 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ013-171200-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Patchy fog early. A slight chance of light rain
late. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the south by
mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain early in the
evening, then rain by midnight. Chance of rain
near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97-100 percent inland to 91 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph through midnight. Gusts up to
20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.24-0.40 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
through early afternoon. Chance of showers 20
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
30 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ014-095-171200-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A slight
chance of light rain late. Chance of rain 20
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to
11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain early in the
evening, then rain by midnight. Chance of rain
near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south 7
to 12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.27-0.45 inch.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through early
afternoon. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
30 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.01-0.12 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ096-097-171200-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of light rain through
midnight. Rain late. Chance of rain near 100
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.19-0.39 inch.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through early
afternoon, then a slight chance of rain showers
by mid afternoon. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........72-77 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.09-0.20 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ088-171200-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 4 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest by
mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of light rain by
midnight. Rain late. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-98 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.14-0.26 inch.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers through early afternoon,
then a slight chance of rain showers by mid
afternoon. Chance of showers 90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.17-0.30 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ086-087-171200-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
601 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog early.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 4 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain through
midnight. Rain late. Chance of rain near 100
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.22-0.47 inch.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers through early afternoon,
then a slight chance of rain showers by mid
afternoon. Chance of showers 90 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.07-0.29 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows 47 to 52 inland to around 54 at the shore. Highs
64 to 69 inland to around 63 at the shore. Southwest winds 4 to
9 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows 41 to 46 inland to around 48 at the shore. Highs
52 to 57. Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows
35 to 40 inland to around 45 at the shore. Highs around 58. West
winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Chance of showers
70 percent. Lows 39 to 44. Highs 53 to 58.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Chance of
showers 70 percent. Lows 35 to 40 inland to around 43 at the shore.
Highs 48 to 53.
.Outlook for Thu Oct 23 through Wed Oct 29...expect above normal
temperatures and near normal precipitation.
$$
...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................
The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 3100 / S 11 / 341 (G)
200301 / KENTON / 1900 / S 17 / 323 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 2100 / S 17 / 357 (G)
201004 / MUNISING / 2400 / S 9 / 216 (F)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 2400 / S 9 / 216 (F)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2500 / S 8 / 200 (F)
200703 / GWINN / 2500 / S 12 / 300 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 2900 / S 11 / 319 (G)
200503 / PELKIE / 2600 / S 16 / 416 (G)
201504 / RACO / 2500 / S 3 / 75 (P)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 2700 / S 13 / 351 (G)
201401 / REXTON / 2400 / S 3 / 72 (P)
201505 / RUDYARD / 2800 / NW 3 / 84 (P)
201202 / SENEY / 2300 / S 5 / 115 (P)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 2400 / S 4 / 96 (P)
201102 / STONINGTON / 2800 / S 10 / 280 (F)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1500 / S 20 / 300 (G)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 1900 / S 19 / 361 (G)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 2500 / NW 5 / 125 (P)
/ KEWEENAW / 1800 / S 13 / 234 (F)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 2500 / SW 3 / 75 (P)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Fri...
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 2700 / S 20 / 540 (G)
200301 / KENTON / 2300 / SW 25 / 575 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 2400 / S 25 / 600 (E)
201004 / MUNISING / 1700 / S 21 / 357 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 2100 / S 23 / 483 (G)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2100 / S 24 / 504 (G)
200703 / GWINN / 2100 / S 24 / 504 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 2300 / S 20 / 460 (G)
200503 / PELKIE / 2700 / SW 25 / 675 (E)
201504 / RACO / 1700 / S 21 / 357 (G)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 2200 / S 20 / 440 (G)
201401 / REXTON / 1900 / S 24 / 456 (G)
201505 / RUDYARD / 1800 / S 18 / 324 (G)
201202 / SENEY / 2000 / S 24 / 480 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 1900 / S 24 / 456 (G)
201102 / STONINGTON / 1900 / S 21 / 399 (G)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 2600 / SW 27 / 702 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 2500 / SW 26 / 650 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 1300 / S 20 / 260 (F)
/ KEWEENAW / 1700 / S 20 / 340 (G)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 1700 / S 20 / 340 (G)
Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
Transport winds are in miles per hour
.....................................................................
The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.
WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 59/ 60/ 5/ 8/ S/0.00
200301 / KENTON/ 57/ 53/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 57/ 53/ 7/ 12/ S/0.00
201004 / MUNISING/ 57/ 57/ 4/ 7/ S/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 58/ 54/ 4/ 8/ S/0.00
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 58/ 54/ 4/ 8/ S/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 56/ 54/ 5/ 9/ S/0.00
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 57/ 62/ 4/ 9/ S/0.00
200503 / PELKIE/ 60/ 50/ 5/ 12/ S/0.00
201504 / RACO/ 56/ 58/ 0/ 3/ SW/0.00
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 57/ 58/ 6/ 10/ S/0.00
201401 / REXTON/ 57/ 57/ 2/ 5/ S/0.00
201505 / RUDYARD/ 58/ 46/ 2/ 3/ NW/0.00
201202 / SENEY/ 57/ 59/ 3/ 6/ S/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 57/ 56/ 2/ 4/ S/0.00
201102 / STONINGTON/ 58/ 59/ 4/ 8/ S/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 53/ 70/ 7/ 15/ S/0.00
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 53/ 67/ 7/ 12/ S/0.00
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 56/ 50/ 2/ 3/ NW/0.00
/ KEWEENAW/ 56/ 55/ 6/ 12/ SE/0.00
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 57/ 56/ 0/ 4/ S/0.00
$$
WFO MQT