015
FNUS73 KMPX 171300
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for WR Rx...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
800 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy southeast winds with gusts to 30 mph are
expected today. Showers and thunderstorms will develop mid to late
afternoon and continue through the evening. Otherwise, moderate RH
and good smoke dispersal are expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    with thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 66.
RH..................52 percent at ignition...Min 47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 15 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 10 to 15
                    mph with gusts to around 28 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /35800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /54300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 24 to 28 mph decreasing to around 18 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  CDY CDY MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp............56  61  63  64  65  65  64  63  62  61  59  58
RH..............52  47  51  54  56  60  64  69  73  78  84  81
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  14  14  12  10  10  8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.28  26  26  26  25  24  23  21  23  20  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.25  28  25  26  26  25  24  18  16  13  13  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Temperature.........Min 43.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph in the evening becoming light,
                    then becoming north 6 to 8 mph overnight. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph shifting to the north 10 to
                    18 mph late in the evening, then increasing to
                    17 to 20 mph after 3 am.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the morning and early afternoon, then slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 51.
RH..................Min 59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (64300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 18 to 22 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Nate R
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510866.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nate.Renk@state.mn.us