210
FNUS73 KMPX 281142
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Grove Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
642 AM CDT Fri Mar 28 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on March 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
It will be a taste of summer today for south central MN as temperatures
surge into the 80s. These warm temperatures will come on the heals of
southwest winds that could gust as high as 35 mph. With temperatures this
warm RH values could also dip as low as 30%. As you approach sunset, a
cold front will be approaching from the northwest. This will start to
push down the wind speeds after 4pm, though a switch to a northwest
direction is not anticipated until 9pm.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........54 at forecast start...Max 85.
RH..................90 percent at forecast start...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 10 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise South winds 10 to 17 mph
                    shifting to the southwest 18 to 22 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /11000 knot-ft/ at forecast start.
                    Max...excellent /98900 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (110600 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 4700
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph shifting to the southwest 26
                    to 28 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                                        CHC CHC
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Temp............54  60  65  71  76  81  82  83  84  83  79  74
RH..............90  77  67  58  49  40  36  35  34  37  42  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  15  17  21  22  22  18  14  10  12
20 FT wind gust.16  17  18  22  25  29  31  31  26  22  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.6 3.2 4.1 4.7 4.6 2.4 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.16  18  18  21  24  26  28  28  28  25  17  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    north after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (53700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (6900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 25 mph shifting to the west
                    around 14 mph early in the evening, then
                    shifting to the north 16 to 21 mph in the late
                    evening and overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of rain in the
                    morning, then rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 43.
RH..................Min 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 13 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 24 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Griesinger
Requested by...Ryan Williams
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508318.0/MPX
.DELDT 03/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan_williams@fws.gov