


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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657 FXUS63 KMPX 241655 AFDMPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1155 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - A few sprinkles/showers are possible today over eastern MN into western WI. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected throughout the upcoming week. - Below normal temperatures are expected throughout this week with highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the 40s/50s. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 Cool Canadian-origin high pressure will continue to slowly make inroads into the Upper Midwest early this week. However, the slow-to-exit upper level low near Hudson Bay will exert one last day of influence over MN/WI today. A few weak shortwaves rotating around the western periphery of the upper low will dive southeast across northern MN into western WI, not only bringing another round of diurnal stratus/stratocumulus clouds but also potentially a few bouts of weak intermittent sprinkles/showers over eastern MN into western WI. Any potential round of showers at any given location will be brief and light, with QPF no more than a trace to 0.01", if anything occurs at all. That said, the main story for today will be another cool/breezy/cloudy day with highs only in the mid-60s, well below the normal highs of around 80 degrees for today. NW winds will pick up once again during mainly the daytime hours, with gusts in the 20-30mph range, particularly from late morning through the late afternoon hours. Conditions become much more tranquil starting tonight and will continue as such throughout the rest of the week as the center of the cool high pressure airmass moves from south-central Canada today to the eastern Dakotas on Monday then into the western Ohio River Valley region on Tuesday. This will allow for clearing skies and calmer winds for the start of the workweek. However, the cool temperatures will prevail for Monday-Tuesday with highs from the upper 60s to lower 70s. As the high pressure areas slides to the eastern seaboard midweek, this will make for a warmer return flow on its western side, making for an increase in temperatures during the second half of the week. However, dry conditions will continue to prevail due to broad ridging across the north-central CONUS and high pressure prevailing at the surface. Highs will increase to the mid-upper 70s from Wednesday onward, so warmer but still a touch below normal. With high pressure still in control, precipitation chances are nil with generally a mix of sun and clouds going into the last weekend of August. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1155 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 Some isolated MVFR CIGS this morning, but overall as the day has gone on these have lifted into low VFR. This is expected to continue with low VFR CIGS through the evening before clearing to SKC or FEW tonight. EAU and maybe RNH could see some isolated sprinkles or showers this evening, little impacts to aviation though with VFR expected to continue. Gusty northwest winds will continue through the day before dropping overnight just like yesterday. Tomorrow is not expected to be as windy, but direction still from the NW. KMSP...Gusty northwest winds continue through the day and calm tonight. Not expected as much wind tomorrow. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...VFR. Wind NW bcmg W 5 kts. WED...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts. THU...VFR. Wind S 5 kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JPC AVIATION...NDC