Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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657
FXUS63 KMPX 241655
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1155 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few sprinkles/showers are possible today over eastern MN
  into western WI. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected
  throughout the upcoming week.

- Below normal temperatures are expected throughout this week
  with highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the 40s/50s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Cool Canadian-origin high pressure will continue to slowly make
inroads into the Upper Midwest early this week. However, the
slow-to-exit upper level low near Hudson Bay will exert one last
day of influence over MN/WI today. A few weak shortwaves
rotating around the western periphery of the upper low will dive
southeast across northern MN into western WI, not only bringing
another round of diurnal stratus/stratocumulus clouds but also
potentially a few bouts of weak intermittent sprinkles/showers
over eastern MN into western WI. Any potential round of showers
at any given location will be brief and light, with QPF no more
than a trace to 0.01", if anything occurs at all. That said, the
main story for today will be another cool/breezy/cloudy day
with highs only in the mid-60s, well below the normal highs of
around 80 degrees for today. NW winds will pick up once again
during mainly the daytime hours, with gusts in the 20-30mph
range, particularly from late morning through the late afternoon
hours.

Conditions become much more tranquil starting tonight and will
continue as such throughout the rest of the week as the center
of the cool high pressure airmass moves from south-central
Canada today to the eastern Dakotas on Monday then into the
western Ohio River Valley region on Tuesday. This will allow for
clearing skies and calmer winds for the start of the workweek.
However, the cool temperatures will prevail for Monday-Tuesday
with highs from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

As the high pressure areas slides to the eastern seaboard
midweek, this will make for a warmer return flow on its
western side, making for an increase in temperatures during the
second half of the week. However, dry conditions will continue
to prevail due to broad ridging across the north-central CONUS
and high pressure prevailing at the surface. Highs will increase
to the mid-upper 70s from Wednesday onward, so warmer but still
a touch below normal. With high pressure still in control,
precipitation chances are nil with generally a mix of sun and
clouds going into the last weekend of August.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Some isolated MVFR CIGS this morning, but overall as the day has
gone on these have lifted into low VFR. This is expected to
continue with low VFR CIGS through the evening before clearing
to SKC or FEW tonight. EAU and maybe RNH could see some isolated
sprinkles or showers this evening, little impacts to aviation
though with VFR expected to continue. Gusty northwest winds
will continue through the day before dropping overnight just
like yesterday. Tomorrow is not expected to be as windy, but
direction still from the NW.

KMSP...Gusty northwest winds continue through the day and
calm tonight. Not expected as much wind tomorrow.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. Wind NW bcmg W 5 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts.
THU...VFR. Wind S 5 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JPC
AVIATION...NDC