166
FXUS63 KMPX 241136
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
636 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few sprinkles/showers are possible today over eastern MN
  into western WI. Otherwise, dry conditions are expected
  throughout the upcoming week.

- Below normal temperatures are expected throughout this week
  with highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the 40s/50s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

Cool Canadian-origin high pressure will continue to slowly make
inroads into the Upper Midwest early this week. However, the
slow-to-exit upper level low near Hudson Bay will exert one last
day of influence over MN/WI today. A few weak shortwaves
rotating around the western periphery of the upper low will dive
southeast across northern MN into western WI, not only bringing
another round of diurnal stratus/stratocumulus clouds but also
potentially a few bouts of weak intermittent sprinkles/showers
over eastern MN into western WI. Any potential round of showers
at any given location will be brief and light, with QPF no more
than a trace to 0.01", if anything occurs at all. That said, the
main story for today will be another cool/breezy/cloudy day
with highs only in the mid-60s, well below the normal highs of
around 80 degrees for today. NW winds will pick up once again
during mainly the daytime hours, with gusts in the 20-30mph
range, particularly from late morning through the late afternoon
hours.

Conditions become much more tranquil starting tonight and will
continue as such throughout the rest of the week as the center
of the cool high pressure airmass moves from south-central
Canada today to the eastern Dakotas on Monday then into the
western Ohio River Valley region on Tuesday. This will allow for
clearing skies and calmer winds for the start of the workweek.
However, the cool temperatures will prevail for Monday-Tuesday
with highs from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

As the high pressure areas slides to the eastern seaboard
midweek, this will make for a warmer return flow on its
western side, making for an increase in temperatures during the
second half of the week. However, dry conditions will continue
to prevail due to broad ridging across the north-central CONUS
and high pressure prevailing at the surface. Highs will increase
to the mid-upper 70s from Wednesday onward, so warmer but still
a touch below normal. With high pressure still in control,
precipitation chances are nil with generally a mix of sun and
clouds going into the last weekend of August.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 627 AM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

VFR and dry conditions expected throughout this TAF duration,
but that`s not to rule out MVFR ceilings across the area nor to
rule our a few sprinkles/showers over western WI this afternoon.
High pressure will continue to make inroads to the area today,
but not before another pair of weak shortwaves drop southeast
across the region, bringing another round of diurnal
stratus/stratocumulus clouds from late this morning onward. At
times, ceilings may dip below 3000ft for any given TAF site, and
a few nuisance/intermittent showers drift across RNH/EAU. Skies
will then gradually clear out tonight through Monday morning.
Winds will continue out of the NW, again becoming breezy/gusty
during the late morning through afternoon hours.

KMSP...Only concern is how breezy MSP may get during the
afternoon. Currently advertising gusts into the 20-25kt range
but gusts may reach the 25-30kt range at top end.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. Wind NW 5 kts.
WED...VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts.
THU...VFR. Wind S 5 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JPC
AVIATION...JPC