Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 160937
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for BHN03...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
437 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 85 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected to persist through
Saturday over the burn site. Afternoon relative humidity values
will remain well above critical thresholds around 45 to 50 percent
today and Saturday. 20 ft winds will be out of the southwest
around 10 knots both today and Saturday with transport winds out
of the southwest around 15 knots. Afternoon dispersions will be
good today and tomorrow.

Fog potential and other remarks...Light patchy fog will be
possible over the burn site this morning and on Saturday morning.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  61  45  34  27  29  38  37  21  25  26
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  74  78  82  87  89  91  92  93  92  91
RH..............97  97  85  77  63  56  49  47  46  47  49
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  15  15  15  16  16  17  18  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.6 3.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW
Transp wind spd.10  14  14  14  14  16  17  17  17  17  18
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..15  34  41  50  58  65  79  83  83  80  82
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  34  30  35  43  56  67  81  81  87  87  80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............88  83  79  78  76  74  74  74  74  74  73  73
RH..............55  65  77  79  87  93  93  93  93  93  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  17  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW S   SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW SW
Transp wind spd.17  16  13  14  14  13  14  14  14  13  13  13
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW S   SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..77  8   6   6   8   9   9   10  9   8   8   8
LVORI...........1   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   8

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  67  62  54  39  26  26  26  25  25  24  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............72  73  75  79  83  87  90  92  94  94  94  92
RH..............97  97  94  85  74  65  58  52  49  47  48  51
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  WSW WSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.15  14  14  14  14  15  15  16  16  16  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.6 1.5 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.9 4.6 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   WSW WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  12  13  13  13  14  14  13  13  13
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W   W   WSW WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).5   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..7   25  26  30  41  51  60  69  72  72  74  78
LVORI...........8   5   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...8
Requested by...Sy Strider
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514097.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sy.strider@usda.gov