Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
067
FNUS74 KMOB 061227
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 423...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
727 AM CDT Tue May 6 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Southeast Mississippi will see increasing coverage of
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into tonight as an
area of rain overspreads the area. Relative humidity values will
remain well above critical levels. Winds both surface and transport
will become a more organized southeast to southerly today outside
of thunderstorms. Dispersions are expected to be fair today.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is possible tonight.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
likely through the day. Chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
morning and early afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 29 late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70 77 73 71 78 87 83 88 88 79
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
Temp............60 65 69 72 72 74 75 75 74 74
RH..............87 78 70 64 66 64 64 64 66 66
20 FT wind dir..E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE E E
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 16 17 17 17 18 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE E ESE
Transp wind spd.12 10 12 12 13 13 12 12 12 13
Trans wind dir..E E E E ESE ESE ESE ESE E ESE
Trans spd (m/s).5 4 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 6
Dispersion idx..10 11 17 22 29 28 26 26 22 24
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then showers and chance of thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-396 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph shifting to the south 9
to 12 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.East around 6 meters/second shifting to the
south 4 to 5 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........79 84 83 87 88 88 89 90 83 83 90 93
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 80 80 80 80 80
Temp............72 71 68 66 65 65 65 65 63 65 63 65
RH..............71 76 84 90 93 93 97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..ESE E E ESE E ENE ENE ESE ESE ESE ESE E
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 17 17 17 16 17 16 17 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.ESE ESE ESE ESE E ENE SE SSE SSE SSE S S
Transp wind spd.14 14 13 12 12 12 14 12 12 9 12 9
Trans wind dir..ESE ESE ESE ESE E ENE SE SSE SSE SSE S S
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 5 4
Dispersion idx..26 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 6
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 8 9
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
in the morning. Showers through the day.
Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Patchy
fog early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early in the morning becoming
southeast around 5 mph with gusts to around 20
mph, then shifting to the south 5 to 6 mph with
gusts to around 21 mph late in the morning
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-701 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 46.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91 91 87 85 88 90 91 92 90 88 86 85
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80 80 80 80 90 90 90 80 80 80 80 80
Temp............63 64 66 68 71 74 76 78 79 79 79 79
RH..............100 100 100 100 93 87 82 76 72 72 69 69
20 FT wind dir..E ESE SSE S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW S
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 5
20 FT wind gust.18 18 20 20 20 20 20 21 20 18 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SSW SW WSW SW S S S
Transp wind spd.12 12 8 13 16 17 16 14 14 15 16 15
Trans wind dir..S S S S S SSW SW WSW SW S S S
Trans spd (m/s).5 5 4 6 7 8 7 6 6 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..7 8 9 20 30 43 45 43 42 41 40 37
LVORI...........8 8 8 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513174.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett