Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
402
FNUS74 KMOB 071637
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Mossy...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1037 AM CST Fri Mar 7 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 CST on March 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 83 EXPECTED REST OF TODAY OVER
THE BURN AREA...
.DISCUSSION...Today will be dry at the burn site with widespread
showers and storms expected by Saturday afternoon and evening.
For the rest of today, the minimum relative humidity is near 30%,
20 ft wind gusts will be up to near 20 mph, transport winds will
be south-southwesterly with good dispersion. For Saturday, the
minimum relative humidity is near 60%, transport winds will be
west-northwesterly in the morning and turning more southeasterly
by the afternoon with fair dispersion.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...701-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....28 increasing to 82.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12 11 14 17 20 31 32 42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............61 64 68 71 72 72 72 69
RH..............41 38 35 33 34 37 39 46
20 FT wind dir..SSE S S SSW SSW SSW SSW S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 8 8 7 6
20 FT wind gust.13 14 16 17 18 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S
Transp wind spd.9 10 13 14 15 16 17 17
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 6 6 7 7 8 8
Dispersion idx..28 40 52 65 70 73 81 83
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29 30 34 43 59 72 79 78 78 74 75 87
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............65 63 61 59 60 60 59 59 59 59 60 59
RH..............56 64 72 80 81 84 90 92 95 96 94 98
20 FT wind dir..SSW S S SSW S SSW S SSW SSW SSW S S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1
20 FT wind gust.18 17 17 16 15 14 13 12 10 9 8 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SSW SSW S SSW SSW S SSW
Transp wind spd.14 13 12 12 13 13 10 10 8 7 7 6
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 5 5 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..6 6 5 6 6 6 5 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 9 8 8
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Chance of showers through the
day. Chance of thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-945 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 5 to
7 mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
then shifting to the southwest around 5 mph
late in the afternoon shifting to the south
around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 2 to 3 meters/second shifting to the
west in the late morning and early afternoon,
then shifting to the southwest around 2
meters/second late in the afternoon shifting to
the south around 3 meters/second late in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 18 in the late morning and
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92 86 80 72 66 67 67 66 64 63 63 64
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 50
Temp............60 60 63 67 70 73 75 76 77 76 75 73
RH..............96 100 99 90 81 71 64 60 57 58 60 65
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW W WNW WNW W W WSW SSW S S SSE
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SSW SW WSW WSW WNW WNW WNW W WSW SW SSW SSE
Transp wind spd.6 5 5 5 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 6
Trans spd (m/s).3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
Dispersion idx..4 4 4 6 15 18 18 17 17 17 18 21
LVORI...........8 8 8 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Delta Webb
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2505274.0/MOB
.DELDT 03/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alaic@firenet.gov