Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 011209
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for PUMPKIN...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
709 AM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on November 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 79 EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated patches of rain are possible through much
of the day. Afternoon relative humidity values remain well above
critical levels. Transport winds will be southeast to east today
and Saturday. Dispersion values will be fair today and good on
Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Some light patchy fog is possible
early this morning and again late tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 2 to 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    east around 3 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 14 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........89     78     73     69     73     62
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     69     74     79     80     82
RH..............97     100    86     70     66     63
20 FT wind dir..SE     ESE    SE     S      E      NNE
20 FT wind spd..2      2      5      5      5      5
20 FT wind gust.7      8      9      9      9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1100   2100   3100   3700   3300
Mix hgt (m).....120    340    640    940    1130   1010
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SSE    ESE    ENE
Transp wind spd.7      8      8      5      5      6
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SSE    ESE    ENE
Trans spd (m/s).3      4      4      2      2      3
Dispersion idx..7      10     22     16     13     15
LVORI...........8      7      3      3      2      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 5 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 1 to 2 meters/second.
Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............7.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     57     56     40     53     57
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     10     0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............78     74     69     67     66     64
RH..............71     84     97     100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..ENE    ESE    E      ENE    E      NE
20 FT wind spd..3      2      2      1      1      1
20 FT wind gust.8      7      6      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1010   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.ENE    NNE    E      ENE    E      E
Transp wind spd.5      5      5      5      3      3
Trans wind dir..ENE    NNE    E      ENE    E      E
Trans spd (m/s).2      2      2      2      1      1
Dispersion idx..19     2      2      2      2      2
LVORI...........3      6      9      9      10     10

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1890 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 79.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........50     52     42     26     33     35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............63     64     73     82     84     86
RH..............100    100    81     57     47     44
20 FT wind dir..ENE    NE     E      E      E      ESE
20 FT wind spd..2      2      5      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.6      8      12     13     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    1500   4300   5800   6200
Mix hgt (m).....120    120    460    1310   1770   1890
Transp wind dir.ENE    ENE    E      ESE    ESE    ESE
Transp wind spd.3      5      8      12     12     12
Trans wind dir..ENE    ENE    E      ESE    ESE    ESE
Trans spd (m/s).1      2      4      5      5      5
Dispersion idx..2      5      16     60     76     79
LVORI...........10     9      4      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...29
Requested by...JAMIE CRAVEN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425476.0/MOB
.DELDT 11/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jamie.craven@usda.com