912
FXUS64 KMOB 260520
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1220 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

Now Through Saturday Night...

A shortwave trof which extends from the north central Gulf coast
to near the Ohio/Mississippi River confluence progresses off into
the western Atlantic with broad upper ridging meanwhile building
into the forecast region. A surface low well off to the north
(associated with an upper trof) brings a weak surface
trof/boundary through the forecast area late tonight which then
drifts back to near the coast Saturday morning. The weak surface
trof/boundary lingers near the coast through the afternoon hours
before slipping into the marine area Saturday night. Current
convection advancing into southeast Mississippi is anticipated to
slowly progress to near the I-65 corridor and meanwhile diminish
in coverage this evening. Dry conditions prevail for the overnight
hours. Isolated showers and storms are possible west of I-65 on
Saturday, and some spotty convection is also possible near the
coast with the weak surface trof/boundary, but coverage at this
point looks too limited to support mention of pops for that
location. Dry conditions are expected for Saturday night. May see
some gusty winds with convection that develops, but severe storm
development is not anticipated. Lows tonight and Saturday night
range from the lower 60s inland to the mid 60s near the coast.
Highs on Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s except for lower
80s at the immediate coast. A moderate risk of rip currents is
expected through Saturday night. /29

Sunday Through Friday...

An upper-level ridge, expanding from Mexico into the Central US
at the start of the period, will build eastward into the southeast
US. Prior to it moving into our area, one last shortwave trough
will slide across the Deep South, bringing isolated to locally
scattered showers and storms to the area on Sunday. As the ridge
axis pushes overhead early next week, subsidence will help to keep
our area dry for Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. Rain chances
return to the forecast by Thursday and Friday as the ridge moves
off to the east and an upper trough slides across the
Tennessee/Ohio River Valleys. Temperatures will be very warm, with
highs topping out in the upper 80s to low 90s, and lows in the
mid to upper 60s. /96

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

General VFR conditions over the forecast area at midnight will see
a drop, mainly in VISBYs, to low end MVFR/IFR as fog develops
overnight. Best chance of lower VISBYs is expected to be southeast
of I-65. After sunrise, any fog is expected to mix out by mid
morning. An afternoon seabreeze is expected to develop, bringing
general southerly winds to the southern half of the forecast area.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 221 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

A generally light diurnal flow will persist through Monday with an
offshore flow developing at night and an onshore flow developing
during the day. A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will
develop Tuesday and continue into Wednesday. No impacts are expected
other than locally higher winds and seas possible near storms. /29

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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