004
FXUS64 KMOB 241756
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1256 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

An anomalously strong longwave trough is currently beginning to
dig into the Great Lakes region. Over the next few days, this
trough will amplify further, allowing for its base to dig into the
Deep South. As this occurs, this will help to send a rather
strong cold front (for late August standards) southward. Although
there are still some timing and strength uncertainties with this
front between the various model guidance, the consensus suggests
that the front will move into our northern counties by early
tomorrow morning, and will push into the northern Gulf on
Tuesday. In the wake of the front, a much drier airmass will begin
to filter into the area from the north (dew points midweek will
crater into the 50s across much of the area). Little to no rain is
expected across the area Monday through Thursday. Isolated to
scattered showers and storms return to the forecast for Friday and
into next weekend as embedded shortwave impulses push into the
local region from the northwest.

Highs for today and tomorrow will top out in the low to mid 90s
across the area. After the front pushes through the area, highs will
decrease into the mid to upper 80s, to around 90. Although still
quite warm, it will definitely feel much more pleasant thanks to dew
points in the 50s. Lows by midweek will be noticably cooler after
the front passes. Lows ranging from the upper 60s north to the mid
70s along the coast tonight will drop into the low 60s inland to the
upper 60s along the coast by Wednesday night. Lows slowly moderate
back into the mid to upper 60s inland to the low 70s along the
coast by next weekend. A Low Risk of rip currents continues
through the period. /96

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Light northerly
winds are expected the rest of today through tonight, becoming
northeasterly Monday. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to
remain along and south of the coast through the forecast.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

A light to occasionally moderate diurnal pattern will continue
through Monday, with offshore expected at night, followed by
onshore flow during the afternoon. Moderate northeasterly winds
develop on Tuesday and will linger through the end of the week as
a cold front moves across the area. Exercise Caution headlines may
become necessary for our local Gulf waters Tuesday and Wednesday
mornings. /96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  93  68  91  67  87  62  89 /  10  10   0  10   0  10   0  10
Pensacola   75  92  71  91  70  87  66  89 /  20  10   0  10   0   0   0  10
Destin      76  91  72  90  71  88  72  89 /  20  10  10  10   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   68  93  61  90  63  89  60  90 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  68  92  63  89  62  87  59  88 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Camden      68  89  62  87  64  85  59  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   70  92  63  91  65  87  62  90 /  10  10   0  10   0   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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