405
FXUS64 KMOB 082313
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A pattern change is on tap as the upper ridge over the area will
build westward and expand over the southwest states. This will
allow a trough to develop over the eastern states. A strong
shortwave will move through the northwest flow on Thursday and
send a cold front through the area. This will deliver a cooler and
much airmass to the area for the end of the week and this
weekend. A few showers will be possible on Thursday ahead of the
front, however most areas will remain dry. Precipitable water
values plunge to below one inch for the end of the week into early
next week. The cooler and drier airmass continues through Monday.
By early next week, the upper ridge builds back to the east and
amplifies over the southeast. This will maintain dry conditions,
however temps will warm back into the mid and upper 80s as upper
level heights increase. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

VFR conditions expected over most of the forecast area through the
forecast. Local drops to MVFR levels are possible in isolated rain
showers along and south of I-10 Thursday. Northerly winds around 5
knots overnight are expected to shift to more easterly and rise to
5 to 10 knots Thursday afternoon.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A northeasterly flow will increase Thursday into Friday. Small Craft
Advisory conditions likely return late in the week and into the
early part of the weekend over the Gulf due to a cold front
passage.

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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