399
FXUS64 KMOB 192000
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

An upper trof along the East Coast moves slowly off into the
western Atlantic, and meanwhile an upper ridge which extends from
the southern Plains to the Great Lakes builds into the forecast
region. A weak sea breeze circulation develops near the coast
this afternoon and again Friday afternoon, but otherwise a dry
northerly to northeasterly flow prevails over the forecast area.
Deep layer moisture will be too limited to consider pops so have
continued with a dry forecast through Friday night. Lows tonight
and Friday night range from the mid 60s well inland to the lower
70s near the coast. Highs on Friday will be mostly in the lower
90s. A low risk of rip currents is expected during the period. /29

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Most of the extended is looking rather pleasant for mid
september as high pressure dominates the first half of the week. We
probably won`t see any form of substantial rain chances until the
middle part of next week as a series of shortwaves eject out of the
central US. As the shortwaves eject out, a very subtle and weak
boundary will slowly drift towards the Gulf coast bringing a focus
for maybe some showers and storms Tuesday into Wednesday of next
week. Other than that there is not much else going on through early
and mid next week. Looking past next week is when things may become
more interesting along the Gulf as the Central American Gyre looks
to get going. At the end of the day while there is a chance for
something of tropical nature to get going in the Gulf as we approach
October the details are foggier than Mobile in January. For now
anything you see about any potential Gulf mischief outside of
"there is a non-zero chance" is nothing more than heartburn and
fear mongering. Enjoy the next week of relatively benign weather
and as things start to get moving and the chess pieces start to
play out we will be right here to give you the best updates we
can. BB/03

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

No impacts are expected other than higher winds and seas near
storms on Tuesday. /29



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      70  93  68  92  70  90  70  90 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   73  90  71  89  73  88  73  88 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      74  89  74  89  74  88  74  88 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   67  94  66  94  67  93  68  92 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  67  92  66  92  66  91  68  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      67  91  68  91  67  91  67  90 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   67  92  66  91  67  91  68  91 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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