147
FXUS64 KMOB 150530
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1129 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1129 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

VFR conditions continue to prevail through Friday night. Winds
become generally northerly at around 5 to 10 knots for the day
Friday with an occasional gust to around 15 knots nearer the
coast. MM/25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 500 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024/

..New AVIATION...

AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 500 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

VFR conditions prevail across the forecast area through Friday.
Winds will remain out of the north to north-northeast at 5 to 10
knots. Locations nearer the coast may occasionally gust to 15
knots Friday afternoon. MM/25

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 350 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

A cooler and much drier airmass will be in place through the near
term period as upper troughing moves into the western Atlantic
and an upper ridge builds into the local region from the west. At
the surface, the cold front which began passing overhead this
morning, has cleared the remainder of the local CWA. Behind it, a
large high pressure system located over the central US will push
towards the east throughout the period. With the dry airmass in
place (PWATs below 0.5 inches), along with subsidence from the
deep layer ridging overhead, no rain is expected through the
period. Temperatures will finally drop to where we should be for
this time of year starting tonight, with lows ranging from the mid
40s inland to the low 50s along the coast and highs tomorrow only
topping out in the upper 60s to low 70s. A High Risk of rip
currents remains in place through this evening due to lingering
swell. The rip current risk quickly drops to Low by Friday
morning. /96

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 350 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

An upper level ridge will pass over the southeast through the
weekend with a dry and cooler airmass continuing. The upper ridge
and sfc high pressure slide of the area by the start of the work
week. This will allow a southeasterly flow to develop with
moisture levels increasing and moderating temps. An upper trough
ejects across the plains early next, sending a cold front eastward
toward the area on Tuesday. The highest rain chances are expected
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the cold front moves east
across the area. A much cooler and drier airmass will flow into
the area in the wake of the front for Thursday. /13

MARINE...
Issued at 350 PM CST Thu Nov 14 2024

Small craft should exercise caution as moderate to occasionally
strong northwesterly to northerly flow will continue through
tonight. Offshore winds will slowly decrease on Friday to a light
to moderate flow, becoming more easterly to southeasterly for the
weekend. /96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      48  71  47  74  54  78  60  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   54  71  52  72  58  75  64  77 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      57  72  56  74  59  76  63  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   47  70  43  74  45  76  51  78 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  45  69  43  74  46  77  54  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      46  67  43  70  44  73  49  75 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   47  73  43  76  46  79  51  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight CST tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight CST tonight for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Friday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.

&&

$$

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