Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
370 FXUS64 KMOB 140614 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 114 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 Overall a rather uneventful forecast with the only rain chances likely coming this weekend. High pressure over the central US today will dominate most of the forecast period as it slowly shifts eastward and amplifies through Friday. This will all be in response to a rather strong upper trough building over the western US. Dry and increasingly warmer conditions will likely continue through the work week before we see a change of pace. Expect highs to steadily climb into the mid to upper 80s. Moisture will steadily return by the end of the week as the upper ridge moves east of the area and southwesterly flow steadily increases in advance of the upper trough. Expect lows to slowly increase each night likely getting into the upper 60s to low 70s by Saturday. Rain chances arrive by the weekend as the rather deep upper trough progresses eastward. Guidance appears to be in decent agreement with some warm advection showers occurring on Saturday with the bulk of the rain occurring Saturday night into Sunday as a southern stream shortwave trough rounds the base of the much large trough. Overall not super concerned about any severe weather with this system; however, some rumbles of thunder and maybe a stronger storm or two cannot be ruled out. Given the rather quick progression of the trough and adjacent surface front, heavy rainfall should not be much of an issue and cooler/drier air should arrive rather quickly by early next week. Rip currents will be low through most of the week until they will rapidly increase to HIGH by the weekend as southerly flow strengthens Friday into Saturday. BB-8 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 VFR conditions will persist throughout the forecast with light winds around 10 knots out of the north gusting to around 15 knots. Winds will relax overnight. BB-8 && .MARINE... Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025 A light offshore flow will prevail through Wednesday morning, with a more easterly flow developing Wednesday into Thursday morning. A light southeasterly to easterly flow will return Thursday afternoon, with winds gradually increasing out of the southeast late in the week along with building seas.BB-8 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 59 86 59 86 62 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 Pensacola 64 85 64 84 66 82 69 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 Destin 65 84 65 84 67 82 68 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 55 90 56 90 58 87 59 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 56 86 56 87 59 86 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 Camden 54 87 56 88 59 85 59 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 55 87 55 87 58 84 59 84 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob