Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
895 FLUS42 KMLB 300851 HWOMLB Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Melbourne FL 451 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159- 164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-010000- Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia- Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm- Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia- Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee-Coastal Volusia- Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie- Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard- Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- 451 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. .THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... Lower shower and storm coverage expected across the area today, but isolated to scattered showers and storms will still be possible this afternoon and evening as the sea breeze moves inland. Greatest potential for this activity will be near to north of the Orlando metro area. Any storms that develop will have the potential to produce lightning strikes, gusty winds up to 40 mph and locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches. .EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT... Hot and humid conditions will produce peak afternoon heat index values up to 102 to 107 degrees. This will lead to Moderate to Major Heat Risk across all of east central Florida today. This level of heat can affect anyone without adequate precautions. It is recommended to take frequent breaks from the heat and stay hydrated, especially if spending extended periods of time outdoors during the afternoon. .RIP CURRENT AND SURF IMPACT... There is a Moderate Risk of rip currents at area beaches. Always swim near a lifeguard and never swim alone. .RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to remain in minor flood stage through midweek. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Hot and humid conditions continue Tuesday, with peak heat indices of 102 to 107 degrees. Rain chances will rise through the week, with scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and storms forecast each day. Greatest coverage of this activity will remain north of Okeechobee and the Treasure Coast through midweek, and then will focus across the interior into late week. Developing onshore flow and building swells will elevate the rip current risk toward mid to late week. An area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea is forecast to lift northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico late this week, and currently has a medium chance, around 50 percent, of tropical cyclone development over the next 7 days. It is too early to say what impacts, if any, that may occur from this system to the east central Florida area. However, residents and visitors should keep a close eye on the forecast through this week for updates regarding this system. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight. $$ Weitlich