Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 161131
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Spot Forecast for Tower...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
731 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light westerly surface and transport winds will
occasionally develop a west southwest or even west northwest
component. Strong surface heating with max temps reaching the
mid 90s will produce a deep mixing layer which will help produce
Fair to Generally Good dispersion. Peak heat indices in the
afternoon will reach the upper 90s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph increasing to 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to around 34.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   11  11  9   10  14  12  14  17  12  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  70  75  81  84  87  90  92  93  94  95
RH..............93  100 84  67  59  52  47  44  41  37  36
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   7   8   9   10  9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.5 2.5 3.3 3.8 4.4 4.6 5.2 6.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   SW  W
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   5   6   5   6   5   5   5   6
Dispersion idx..2   3   7   11  17  23  27  29  32  34  34
LVORI...........7   8   5   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the evening, then becoming light early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to around 2.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 5 overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........11     17     9      18     16     22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............94     88     82     77     74     71
RH..............37     48     61     69     76     84
20 ft wind......W 3    W 3    NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   W 2
20 ft wind gust.7      7      5                    3
Mix hgt (ft)....5800   600    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 6    W 7    W 9    NW 6   W 5    W 5
Dispersion idx..28     3      2      3      2      2
LVORI...........2      2      3      3      4      5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to around 60.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........21        14        21        19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
Temp............70        77        88        94
RH..............87        74        51        43
20 FT wind......W 3       W 5G6     W 6G10    W 7G12
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1400      4200      6100
Transport wind..W 5       W 5       W 8       W 8
Dispersion idx..1         13        44        56
LVORI...........6         4         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Adam Peterson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514129.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL apeterson@tnc.org