Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 120812
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Three Lakes Oxpond...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
412 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A very dry airmass across the area will again lead to critically
low RH values and fire-sensitive weather conditions today. Min RH
values are forecast to fall to the upper 20s this afternoon
across the burn site. However, high pressure across the area will
shift eastward today, with winds remaining light around 5 mph.
Wind direction will be variable today, but will generally be out
of the northwest this morning, becoming south to southwest this
afternoon. Dispersions values will be Poor to Fair through much
of the day, becoming Generally Good later in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early in the morning becoming
                    northwest around 5 mph, then shifting to the
                    southwest early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    3 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 41 late.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   1   1   2   2   3   4   3   4   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  51  60  68  72  74  77  78  79  80
RH..............100 89  67  53  44  38  33  32  30  29
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3       6   6       6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.2 4.1 4.6 4.9 5.0 5.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   5   8   5   3   3   5   5   7   7
Dispersion idx..3   3   11  11  14  17  25  26  39  41
LVORI...........9   6   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 6 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   3   2   1   4   4   4   6   5   2   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  75  70  64  62  60  58  57  55  54  53  51
RH..............32  38  47  60  67  75  75  77  83  86  86  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.3       2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   5   6   6   8   6   5   5   5   5   5   6
Dispersion idx..37  4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    9 to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 80.
LVORI...............7 increasing to 8 early in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 5 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 2 in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   4   7   1   3   4   4   4   4   11  17  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  50  50  55  64  71  74  77  80  80  81  81
RH..............93  93  96  83  64  53  48  43  39  38  37  37
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   W   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   3   6   8   10  12  14  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.2 4.2 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  W   SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   7   9   12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..3   3   2   9   19  32  50  64  66  68  77  82
LVORI...........6   7   8   5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505978.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com