828
FNUS72 KMLB 280957
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for CCSFS 14/17...US Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
557 AM EDT Fri Mar 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Good morning. Breezy/gusty east to southeast winds will
produce Excellent dispersion today. Shaved off some of the higher mixing
heights given the wind conditions and location along the immediate coast
but still getting dispersion values above 80 at the burn site.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 23 mph.
Dispersion index....22 increasing to 84.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  41  46  64  63  58  55  41  35  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  70  73  76  77  77  77  77  77  76
RH..............70  68  62  56  52  52  54  52  52  52
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..14  15  16  17  17  17  17  17  16  16
20 FT wind gust.21  21  22  23  24  24  23  24  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.7 3.2 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.21  22  23  23  22  22  23  22  23  22
Dispersion idx..42  70  75  84  84  84  83  82  82  80
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming
                    mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
                    showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL decreasing to 1300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 25 mph.
Dispersion index....79 decreasing to 29 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 3 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........23     27     37     54     57     54
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      20
Temp............75     71     69     68     67     67
RH..............55     68     73     76     78     81
20 ft wind......E 16   E 15   SE 16  SE 16  SE 17  SE 16
20 ft wind gust.22     21     22     22     21     21
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   3200   2100   1400   1600   1300
Transport wind..E 22   E 23   SE 25  SE 25  SE 24  SE 23
Dispersion idx..78     27     30     31     29     27
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of
                    showers in the morning and early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 22 mph.
Dispersion index....25 increasing to 45 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 52 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 40 late in the afternoon increasing to 48.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 2 in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........56        73        74        65
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        20        10
Temp............67        71        77        77
RH..............78        73        61        60
20 FT wind......SE 14G20  SE 12G20  SE 13G20  SE 14G20
Mix hgt (ft)....1600      2200      3300      3000
Transport wind..SE 22     SE 21     SE 18     SE 16
Dispersion idx..26        47        51        40
LVORI...........3         3         1         2

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Alan Taylor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508279.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alan_taylor@fws.gov