301
FNUS72 KMLB 300912
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD Jones p2s...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
512 AM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Slightly drier conditions than previous days today. High coverage
of clouds expected to delay development of the sea breeze a bit,
reaching the burn site between around 1-2 PM and increasing light
southeasterly winds to 5-10 mph. There is a 40% chance for a
shower or lightning storm to develop on the sea breeze around this
time, before pushing inland. Rain chances continue to increase
through the afternoon, topping out around 60% in the evening, then
gradually decreasing. Lightning strikes, gusty winds, and heavy
downpours are the primary concerns with any storms that develop.
Winds become light southeast overnight, following a similar
pattern Tuesday. Higher moisture and rain chances Tuesday. Min RHs
60-65% today and 65-70% Tuesday. Afternoon smoke dispersion
Generally Good. High temperatures in the U80s with peak afternoon
heat indices in the U90s.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL increasing to 3800- 4500 ft AGL
in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15
mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 49.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  49  51  56  57  57  59  61  62  62  64
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  30  30  40  40  50  50
Temp............73  75  79  83  85  85  85  87  86  87  85
RH..............100 97  85  74  72  72  70  65  68  65  70
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   6   7   7   8   8   9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.9 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.5 3.8 3.4 3.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   8   8   8   7   9   10  12  13  12
Dispersion idx..3   4   20  31  36  37  44  53  51  48  44
LVORI...........9   7   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph early in the
evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms. .
Mixing height.......700-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
mph.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............Increasing to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     61     61     61     51     52
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     30     20     20     20     20
Temp............85     80     77     76     75     74
RH..............70     82     88     90     94     97
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 6   SE 3   SE 3   S 2    SE 2
20 ft wind gust.10     9      9      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   700    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 12  SE 10  S 9    S 7    S 6    SE 5
Dispersion idx..32     7      5      4      3      2
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      6      7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400-1700 ft AGL increasing to 3600-4000 ft AGL
in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph increasing to 12 to 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 44 late in the morning.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 4 in the late morning and
afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........52        55        60        66
Weather cov.....S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC               CHANCE    LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).20        30        30        70
Temp............75        81        86        85
RH..............94        82        72        75
20 FT wind......SE 2G6    SE 3G8    SE 7G12   SE 9G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1700      3900      3600
Transport wind..SE 3      SE 6      SE 10     SE 13
Dispersion idx..2         15        44        44
LVORI...........7         4         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...James Schuette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2516888.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jschuett@sfwmd.gov