Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for WS7a - YC Island...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
524 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on November 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Good morning! Onshore flow continues today with gusts increasing between
15-20 mph this afternoon. Generally dry. However a brief, shallow shower
cannot be completely ruled out in vicinity of the burn site. There is low
confidence in fog development early Saturday morning. Generally good smoke
dispersion is forecast. There are no critical RH concerns.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   13  11  9   9   15  26  30  29  37  38  32
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  66  66  70  76  79  82  83  83  83  84  82
RH..............91  95  97  87  74  69  61  58  57  57  55  58
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   8   10  12  13  14  15  17  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.0 3.5 4.3 4.6 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   8   12  12  10  10  9   9   12  13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening. Patchy fog after
                    3 am.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........20     14     13     17     16     21
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC                       PATCHY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............81     74     72     70     69     68
RH..............61     79     86     93     97     98
20 ft wind......E 10   NE 7   NE 6   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
20 ft wind gust.17     14     10     9      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 12   E 12   E 9    NE 8   NE 8   NE 7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 16 mph shifting to the east 17
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........26        10        25        32
Weather cov.....PATCHY    PATCHY
Weather type....FOG       FOG       NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............67        71        81        82
RH..............100       93        72        68
20 FT wind......NE 5G9    NE 6G12   NE 10G17  NE 13G22
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1300      3200      2900
Transport wind..NE 7      NE 12     E 17      E 18

$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Benjamin Bandor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2425421.0/MLB
.DELDT 11/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ben.bandor@floridadep.gov