Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
933
FNUS72 KMLB 190926
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Three Lakes - Check Station...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
526 AM EDT Fri Jul 19 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be out of the south around 5 to 7 mph this morning and
early afternoon. However, winds are then forecast to shift to the
southeast up to 8 to 10 mph later in the afternoon as the east
coast sea breeze moves inland past the burn site. Scattered to
numerous showers and storms are forecast to develop along the
sea breeze into the afternoon and evening, with chance of rain
around 60 percent. Gusty and variable winds will be possible
with or near any thunderstorms. Dispersion will be Fair to
Generally Good today.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms likely
late in the afternoon. .
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until
1400, then 9-15 strikes until 1500, then 16-25
strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
late morning and afternoon, then shifting to
the southeast around 8 to 10 mph late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in
the morning, then decreasing to 2200 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 37 late in the morning
increasing to 47 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 19 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17 12 10 17 21 31 33 51 70 70
Weather cov..... SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 40 60 60 60
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4
Temp............77 81 86 88 90 92 93 93 92 90
RH..............97 85 72 68 62 56 56 56 56 61
20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT wind spd..2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 8 9 10 10 12 10 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.4 2.3 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.5 4.5 3.5 2.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 10 9 8 8 8 7 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..5 18 30 37 41 47 39 31 25 19
LVORI...........7 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 1900, then 9-15 strikes
until 2100, then 1-8 strikes until 2300, then
No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to
8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 7.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........61 51 45 37 29 16
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60 30 20 10 0 0
LAL.............4 3 2 1 1 1
Temp............88 81 78 78 77 75
RH..............66 82 91 91 90 97
20 ft wind......SE 7 SE 6 S 5 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3
20 ft wind gust.10 9 8 7 8 7
Mix hgt (ft)....1400 600 400 400 400 400
Transport wind..SE 9 S 8 S 6 S 6 SE 7 SE 7
Dispersion idx..17 5 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 6 7
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly
cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 14 late in the morning, then
increasing to 29 late in the morning increasing
to 37 in the afternoon decreasing to 27.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 6 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 4 late in the morning decreasing
to 1 in the afternoon increasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........12 14 29 70
Weather cov..... LIKELY
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 60
LAL.............1 1 1 4
Temp............74 82 91 92
RH..............100 82 64 60
20 FT wind......SE 3G7 S 3G7 S 6G10 S 6G12
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1500 3800 4400
Transport wind..SE 7 S 7 S 8 S 7
Dispersion idx..3 14 37 36
LVORI...........9 4 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Steve Glass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2418380.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steve.glass@myfwc.com