Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
838
FNUS72 KMLB 302327
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for C-262 Stark North...USFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
727 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Isolated showers and lightning storms will be possible in vicinity of
the burn site after 11AM with the greatest coverage increasing in the
afternoon, generally after 3PM. South winds are forecast to remain
less than 10 mph. However, winds can become gusty and variable in
vicinity of thunderstorms. High temperatures will climb into the mid
90s. Humid conditions will produce peak heat index values up to 106
degrees, and there will be a Moderate Heat Risk tomorrow. Generally
good smoke dispersion is expected.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes until
1400, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 62.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52 39 35 32 34 40 20 35 27 29 34
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 40 30 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
Temp............73 75 80 85 88 90 93 94 94 94 93
RH..............100 100 85 75 68 62 54 53 51 51 54
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.6 7 7 8 10 10 13 13 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.9 5.0 5.2 4.5
Transp wind dir.S S S SW S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 7 8 8 10 9 10 9 10 12 10
Dispersion idx..2 7 15 22 35 47 55 54 62 65 58
LVORI...........10 8 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening and
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 0200, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
the evening.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 10.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........39 50 55 49 34 26
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50 30 30 30 0 0
LAL.............3 3 3 3 1 1
Temp............91 87 82 79 77 76
RH..............58 68 80 90 94 98
20 ft wind......S 6 S 5 S 3 S 2 S 1 S 1
20 ft wind gust.12 9 8 7 6 6
Mix hgt (ft)....4200 1100 700 500 400 400
Transport wind..S 10 S 8 S 7 S 7 S 6 S 6
Dispersion idx..49 3 3 3 3 2
LVORI...........1 3 4 6 7 10
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 9-15 strikes until
1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the
late morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to 5600 ft AGL late in the afternoon
decreasing to 3100 ft AGL late in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast
around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 52 late in the morning
decreasing to 35.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........25 30 44 70
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 40 40 70
LAL.............1 3 3 4
Temp............76 80 89 91
RH..............99 87 66 61
20 FT wind......S 1G6 SE 2G7 SE 3G10 SE 5G13
Mix hgt (ft)....600 2100 4700 4800
Transport wind..S 6 S 7 S 9 S 8
Dispersion idx..2 19 52 48
LVORI...........10 4 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Law
Requested by...Jessica Vincent
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416968.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica.e.vincent@usda.gov