913
FNUS72 KMLB 190832
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Crew Boss Academy Day 4...DEP
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
332 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on January 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Band of showers and embedded storms will affect the burn
site late this morning between 9 am and Noon. Locally heavy rain and strong
wind gusts may accompany this convection. Gusty southwest winds ahead of
the front this morning will turn west by early afternoon behind the front.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms
                    through early afternoon. Showers decreasing in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1000, then 9-15 strikes until
                    1300, then 1-8 strikes until 1500, then No
                    Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to
                    around 29 mph shifting to the west 12 to 16 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 29 mph shifting to the west 15
                    to 22 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 37 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 50 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 38 in the afternoon decreasing to 24.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 4 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  85  88  87  85  90  81  77  77  74  81  68
Weather cov.....CHC SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  30  50  60  80  60  40  30  10  10  0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1
Temp............68  69  69  71  72  72  71  71  70  69  68  66
RH..............97  97  97  97  93  93  97  87  87  84  81  84
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..14  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  16  15  14  12
20 FT wind gust.20  23  26  28  28  29  29  28  25  22  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.21  20  20  24  26  29  23  22  21  21  20  15
Dispersion idx..18  17  23  37  47  53  41  42  40  41  34  24
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    north around 10 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL increasing to 2300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 15 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Dispersion index....17.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 3 overnight.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     78     79     61     74     88
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............63     59     57     53     49     46
RH..............87     90     83     80     77     73
20 ft wind......W 9    NW 8   NW 9   NW 10  NW 9   N 10
20 ft wind gust.16     14     14     15     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....500    500    1000   800    2400   2300
Transport wind..W 14   NW 14  NW 14  N 14   N 15   N 15
Dispersion idx..13     12     14     15     20     21
LVORI...........5      5      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Ashley Kennedy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500900.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ashley.Kennedy@FloridaDEP.gov