Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
452
FNUS52 KMLB 162000
FWFMLB
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Central Florida
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
.Discussion...
Sensitive fire weather conditions are expected through mid week
next week with high pressure expected over Florida through early next week.
Additionally, soils are expected to continue to dry out with no
mentionable rain chances in the forecast through Tuesday. Minimum
RH values between 30-35% over the interior are expected today and
Saturday, however winds will be relatively light so conditions
will not reach Red Flag criteria. Minimum RH values near 50% are
forecast close to the coast south of Cape Canaveral. Minimum RH
values between 35-40% are forecast generally over the interior
Sunday and into early next week. Winds will turn onshore each
afternoon at 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph behind the sea breeze,
mainly east of the Orlando metro. Above normal to near record
temperatures are expected each day with a Moderate HeatRisk on
Saturday, a Moderate to Major HeatRisk on Monday, and a Moderate
to Extreme HeatRisk Tuesday to Wednesday. Dispersion values
Saturday and Sunday will be Poor to Fair over the Treasure Coast
counties to Okeechobee county, in addition to near the coast south
of Volusia county with Generally Good to Excellent dispersions to
the west-northwest.
Fog potential and other remarks...widespread fog is not expected.
Localized visibility reductions due to smoke from new or existing
fires will be possible even if fog is not forecast.
FLZ044-171100-
Northern Lake-
Including the cities of Eustis, Mount Dora, Leesburg, and Tavares
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 65 97 66 97
Max/Min RH % 100 34 100 34
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 3 Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd mph (PM) W 5 W 7 W 6 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 6400 300 7500
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 14 W 7 W 12
Dispersion Index 3 108 0 106
Max LVORI 9 9
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ144-171100-
Southern Lake-
Including the cities of Clermont, Mascotte, and Groveland
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 68 95 69 96
Max/Min RH % 100 40 100 42
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 3 Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd mph (PM) NW 6 W 7 W 7 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 6600 300 7000
Transport Wnd (mph) W 10 W 12 W 8 W 9
Dispersion Index 3 83 0 82
Max LVORI 9 10
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ041-171100-
Inland Volusia-
Including the cities of Debary, Deland, and Deltona
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 66 97 67 97
Max/Min RH % 100 35 100 35
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 3 W 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) W 5 W 7 W 6 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 6500 300 7600
Transport Wnd (mph) W 8 W 13 W 7 W 12
Dispersion Index 2 104 0 109
Max LVORI 9 9
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ141-171100-
Coastal Volusia-
Including the cities of Daytona Beach, New Smyrna Beach,
and Ormond Beach
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 68 96 69 95
Max/Min RH % 97 38 97 41
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 4 W 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) S 6 SW 7 S 7 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 5400 400 5600
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 8 SW 10 SW 12 SW 8
Dispersion Index 3 89 0 72
Max LVORI 6 8
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ045-046-171100-
Orange-Seminole-
Including the cities of Apopka, Maitland, Orlando, Winter Park,
Union Park, Altamonte Springs, Casselberry, Oviedo, Sanford,
and Winter Springs
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 69 97 70 97
Max/Min RH % 100 35 100 36
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 4 W 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) W 6 W 7 W 7 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 7000 300 7600
Transport Wnd (mph) W 7 W 9 W 6 SW 8
Dispersion Index 2 84 0 85
Max LVORI 7 9
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ247-347-171100-
Inland Northern Brevard-Mainland Northern Brevard-
Including the cities of Canaveral Groves, Titusville,
Port Saint John, and Mims
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 69 97 70 97
Max/Min RH % 97 38 97 40
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 3 Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 4 W 6 S 5 S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 6300 400 7200
Transport Wnd (mph) S 8 W 8 SW 7 SW 8
Dispersion Index 2 71 0 69
Max LVORI 6 8
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ447-171100-
Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-
Including the cities of Merritt Island Wildlife Refuge and
Playalinda Beach
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 70 93 70 94
Max/Min RH % 97 41 100 43
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 4 W 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 6 E 7 SE 8 G17 SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 5300 300 5200
Transport Wnd (mph) W 7 S 8 SW 9 S 7
Dispersion Index 0 53 0 45
Max LVORI 6 9
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 90.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 90.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
FLZ547-171100-
Inland Southern Brevard-
Including the cities of Palm Bay west of I 95 and Viera West
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 69 95 70 95
Max/Min RH % 100 39 100 45
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 4 W 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 6 W 7 SE 8 SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 6600 300 6700
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 7 SW 7 NW 5 SE 8
Dispersion Index 2 61 0 55
Max LVORI 7 10
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ647-171100-
Mainland Southern Brevard-
Including the cities of Cocoa, Rockledge, and Melbourne
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 70 94 71 94
Max/Min RH % 97 42 94 46
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 4 W 4
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 8 G18 E 8 G19 SE 9 G19 SE 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 5700 300 5900
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 8 SW 8 SE 7
Dispersion Index 0 50 0 49
Max LVORI 6 7
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
FLZ747-171100-
Southern Brevard Barrier Islands-
Including the cities of Cocoa Beach, Satellite Beach,
and Melbourne Beach
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 73 90 73 90
Max/Min RH % 93 44 94 49
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 6 W 4
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 9 G19 E 9 G20 SE 10 G20 SE 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 4800 300 4000
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 7 E 8 SW 9 SE 8
Dispersion Index 0 39 0 32
Max LVORI 6 7
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
FLZ053-171100-
Osceola-
Including the cities of Celebration, Kissimmee, and Saint Cloud
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 67 97 68 97
Max/Min RH % 100 38 100 39
20ft Wnd mph (AM) W 3 NW 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SW 4 W 5 W 5 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 6700 300 7300
Transport Wnd (mph) W 8 W 7 NW 6 SW 6
Dispersion Index 2 64 0 63
Max LVORI 8 10
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ058-171100-
Okeechobee-
Including the cities of Basinger, Fort Drum, and Okeechobee
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 68 95 69 95
Max/Min RH % 100 39 100 42
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 4 Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd mph (PM) S 3 SW 4 S 4 S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 300 6900 300 6800
Transport Wnd (mph) S 6 W 5 SE 7 S 5
Dispersion Index 2 45 0 50
Max LVORI 10 10
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ254-171100-
Inland Indian River-
Including the city of Fellsmere
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 69 95 70 95
Max/Min RH % 100 40 97 45
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 5 SW 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 6 SW 7 SE 7 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 6800 400 6200
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 8 SW 6 S 10 S 6
Dispersion Index 2 52 0 51
Max LVORI 7 8
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ154-171100-
Coastal Indian River-
Including the cities of Sebastian and Vero Beach
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 71 94 72 93
Max/Min RH % 97 46 96 51
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 6 SW 4
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 9 G19 SE 9 G19 SE 10 G19 SE 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 5600 300 5500
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 S 7 SW 8 SE 7
Dispersion Index 0 43 0 42
Max LVORI 6 6
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
FLZ259-264-171100-
Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-
Including the cities of Tradition, Saint Lucie West,
and Indiantown
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 70 95 71 95
Max/Min RH % 100 42 98 45
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 5 SW 3
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 6 SW 6 SE 7 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 6500 400 6300
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 9 SW 6 S 12 S 7
Dispersion Index 2 50 0 53
Max LVORI 8 8
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid
90s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
mid 90s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
FLZ159-164-171100-
Coastal Saint Lucie-Coastal Martin-
Including the cities of Fort Pierce, Port Saint Lucie,
Hobe Sound, Jensen Beach, and Stuart
400 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 70 93 72 93
Max/Min RH % 100 48 97 51
20ft Wnd mph (AM) SW 6 SW 4
20ft Wnd mph (PM) SE 9 G20 SE 9 G20 SE 10 G20 SE 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 400 5100 400 5300
Transport Wnd (mph) SE 12 S 7 SE 13 SE 8
Dispersion Index 0 46 0 44
Max LVORI 7 8
Remarks...None.
.Forecast for Days 3 through 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower
90s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$