Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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263 FXUS62 KMLB 010153 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 953 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 ...New UPDATE, PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... .UPDATE... Issued at 929 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Current KMLB radar imagery shows mostly dry weather over east central Florida with a few light isolated showers/sprinkles over the local Atlantic, as well as Volusia county. Current temperatures are in the upper 70s to low 80s with dew points in the low to upper 70s. Analysis charts show a mid level trough to the northeast over the eastern CONUS with a mid/upper level ridge building over the central CONUS. Isolated to scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are forecast overnight over the local Atlantic. A slight chances exists for isolated showers and lightning storms (20%) to move onshore along the Martin county coast into Monday morning. South to southwest winds are forecast to become light and variable overnight with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Overnight low temperatures are forecast to drop into the low to upper 70s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFs) Issued at 838 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 VFR conditions are forecast outside of storms. S/SW winds are forecast to become light and variable into the late evening before increasing from the S/SE east of Orlando and S/SW to the west into Mon afternoon. Scat`d showers/storms are forecast to develop into the afternoon, although confidence isn`t high enough to introduce TEMPO groups at this time. VCTS begins between 16Z-18Z. && .MARINE... Issued at 239 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 A ridge of high pressure will remain just north of the local Atlantic waters, with predominant south to southeast breezes increasing 10-12 KT each day behind the sea breeze. Winds will turn offshore around 5 KT near the coast in the overnight hours. Seas generally 2 FT or less through Tuesday, then 2-3 FT on Wednesday & Thursday. Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms are possible each day, though there will be a lot of dry time. Offshore-moving storms appear unlikely. Intracoastal and inshore boaters will find a light to moderate chop each afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 75 93 77 91 / 30 40 20 50 MCO 75 92 76 92 / 20 50 20 70 MLB 75 92 77 91 / 10 50 20 50 VRB 74 92 76 91 / 10 50 20 60 LEE 76 93 77 93 / 40 60 30 70 SFB 75 94 77 93 / 30 50 20 60 ORL 76 93 77 93 / 20 50 20 60 FPR 73 91 76 91 / 20 60 20 60 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Fehling AVIATION...Fehling