River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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647 FGUS53 KKRF 161459 RVFMIL RIVER FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO 1458Z FRI MAY 16 2025 : : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : FORECAST GROUP IS MILK : ************************************************************** : *** This forecast includes projected snowmelt due to *** : *** forecasted 6-hour mean temperatures for next 15 days. *** : ************************************************************** : ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 72 hours of QPF :________________________________________________________________ :INTL BOUNDARY, MT - SAINT MARY RIVER HSA - TFX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.5 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.1 FT AT 1410Z ON MAY 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.3 / 6.1 : .ER SMBM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 6.2 / 6.2 / 6.1 .E2 : 0517 : / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.1 .E3 : 0518 : / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.2 / 6.3 .E4 : 0519 : / 6.4 / 6.4 / 6.4 / 6.4 .E5 : 0520 : / 6.3 / 6.3 / 6.3 / 6.3 .E6 : 0521 : / 6.2 / 6.2 / 6.2 / 6.2 .E7 : 0522 : / 6.2 / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.1 .E8 : 0523 : / 6.1 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 0.07 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 16 at 14Z is 0.07 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0516 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00 : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0518 / 0.08 / 0.40 / 0.34 / 0.08 : 0519 / 0.01 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 0.92 inches :INTL BOUNDARY, MT - SAINT MARY RIVER HSA - TFX :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 2.150 KCFS AT 1410Z ON MAY 16 : .ER SMBM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 2.368 / 2.324 / 2.284 .E2 : 0517 : / 2.255 / 2.230 / 2.199 / 2.166 .E3 : 0518 : / 2.141 / 2.178 / 2.356 / 2.604 .E4 : 0519 : / 2.756 / 2.766 / 2.711 / 2.660 .E5 : 0520 : / 2.624 / 2.594 / 2.557 / 2.516 .E6 : 0521 : / 2.478 / 2.441 / 2.401 / 2.360 .E7 : 0522 : / 2.324 / 2.292 / 2.259 / 2.225 .E8 : 0523 : / 2.195 : :________________________________________________________________ :EASTERN CROSSING, MT - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.5 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 13.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.1 FT AT 1415Z ON MAY 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 2.0 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 : .ER ERNM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 : 0517 : / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 : 0518 : / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.1 .E4 : 0519 : / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E5 : 0520 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E6 : 0521 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E7 : 0522 : / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E8 : 0523 : / 2.4 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 16 at 14Z is 0.00 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0516 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.02 : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0518 / 0.02 / 0.28 / 0.21 / 0.07 : 0519 / 0.01 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 0.63 inches :EASTERN CROSSING, MT - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 0.020 KCFS AT 1415Z ON MAY 16 : .ER ERNM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 0.019 / 0.018 / 0.017 .E2 : 0517 : / 0.017 / 0.016 / 0.015 / 0.014 .E3 : 0518 : / 0.013 / 0.013 / 0.012 / 0.019 .E4 : 0519 : / 0.027 / 0.034 / 0.041 / 0.045 .E5 : 0520 : / 0.046 / 0.047 / 0.047 / 0.045 .E6 : 0521 : / 0.045 / 0.042 / 0.039 / 0.035 .E7 : 0522 : / 0.040 / 0.047 / 0.054 / 0.057 .E8 : 0523 : / 0.062 : :________________________________________________________________ :HARLEM 4 SSE, MT - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.7 FT AT 1430Z ON MAY 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 3.9 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 : .ER HRLM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E2 : 0517 : / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 .E3 : 0518 : / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 : 0519 : / 3.4 / 3.6 / 3.7 / 3.8 .E5 : 0520 : / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E6 : 0521 : / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E7 : 0522 : / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.2 .E8 : 0523 : / 3.2 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 16 at 14Z is 0.01 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0516 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0517 / 0.01 / 0.01 / 0.04 / 0.01 : 0518 / 0.02 / 0.10 / 0.11 / 0.12 : 0519 / 0.07 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 0.49 inches :HARLEM 4 SSE, MT - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 0.179 KCFS AT 1330Z ON MAY 16 : .ER HRLM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 0.172 / 0.168 / 0.164 .E2 : 0517 : / 0.160 / 0.156 / 0.151 / 0.147 .E3 : 0518 : / 0.145 / 0.143 / 0.143 / 0.148 .E4 : 0519 : / 0.158 / 0.169 / 0.179 / 0.186 .E5 : 0520 : / 0.188 / 0.189 / 0.188 / 0.186 .E6 : 0521 : / 0.182 / 0.176 / 0.170 / 0.163 .E7 : 0522 : / 0.156 / 0.149 / 0.144 / 0.139 .E8 : 0523 : / 0.135 : :________________________________________________________________ :NASHUA 1 SW, MT - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW :MINOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.6 FT AT 1400Z ON MAY 16 :obs Stage / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 : .ER NSHM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/HGIFFZZ/DIH6 :Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E2 : 0517 : / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E3 : 0518 : / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 : 0519 : / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E5 : 0520 : / 1.6 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E6 : 0521 : / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E7 : 0522 : / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E8 : 0523 : / 1.5 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z : 0515 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 16 at 14Z is 0.01 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z : 0516 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0517 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0518 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.03 / 0.07 : 0519 / 0.06 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 19 0.18 inches :NASHUA 1 SW, MT - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE 0.070 KCFS AT 1400Z ON MAY 16 : .ER NSHM8 20250516 Z DC202505161458/DH18/QRIFFZZ/DIH6 :Flow Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z .E1 : 0516 : / 0.073 / 0.072 / 0.072 .E2 : 0517 : / 0.073 / 0.071 / 0.069 / 0.068 .E3 : 0518 : / 0.067 / 0.067 / 0.067 / 0.066 .E4 : 0519 : / 0.067 / 0.069 / 0.071 / 0.075 .E5 : 0520 : / 0.079 / 0.082 / 0.086 / 0.094 .E6 : 0521 : / 0.101 / 0.102 / 0.098 / 0.091 .E7 : 0522 : / 0.084 / 0.077 / 0.070 / 0.063 .E8 : 0523 : / 0.056 : :**************************************************************** :COMMENT : : :HSA - Hydrologic Service Area :WFO - Weather Forecast Office :TFX - NWS WFO Great Falls, Montana :GGW - NWS WFO Glasgow, Montana :BIS - NWS WFO Bismarck, North Dakota :OBS - Observed :EST - Estimated :M - Missing :Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation :Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation :Precip - Precipitation :QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation :QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin : : $$ :MBRFC djv :...END of MESSAGE...