Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 171106
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Ferry Terminal Burn...NCFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
706 AM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
A light northeasterly wind this morning will become southeasterly
this afternoon with the development of the afternoon seabreeze.
This will lead to a noticeable wind shift from northeast to
southeast between 2pm-4pm. A more dominant southeast or south wind
is then expected through Friday. The driest conditions are
expected today, with increasing relative humidity on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 15 mph this afternoon (most likely
in the 2-4 pm timeframe).
Mixing Height.......Max 4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph, becoming east in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 33580 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 2.
ADI.................Max 42.
Stability class.....1.
Sfc pressure........30.19 to 30.22 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   2   2   6   3   6   3   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  61  62  63  65  66  65  64  64
RH..............58  53  48  46  43  40  43  45  45
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   5   4   6   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  9   9       5   9   9       14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.3 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.2 3.7 3.2 2.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.14  12  9   8   8   8   7   7   9
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
ADI.............26  33  35  37  42  40  31  27  29
Vrate mph-ft/1K.20  26  29  29  33  34  25  22  23
Sfc pres (in)...019 021 022 022 022 022 021 020 020

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3104 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.22 to 30.29 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   9   9   13  17  22  34  35  20  14  11  7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  60  55  55  54  53  54  53  54  54  53  53
RH..............50  53  64  69  71  74  71  77  74  74  80  80
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   8   7   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  13  12  9   9   8   7   9   8   9   9   10
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   4   4
ADI.............26  8   8   6   4   5   5   4   4   4   4   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.21  15  12  4   4   4   3   4   4   4   4   4
Sfc pres (in)...022 024 026 027 028 029 029 029 029 028 028 028

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the morning,
becoming south 5 to 15 mph by early afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south 15
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 44965 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 52.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.28 to 30.36 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  55  57  61  65  68  70  71  71  72  71  71
RH..............80  80  80  72  63  59  55  55  55  53  55  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   3   5   7   8   10  12  13  15  16  16
20 FT wind gust.9   9   5       14  14  18  18  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.5
Transp wind dir.SE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  9   12  14  14  14  17  18  18  18  20  20
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   10  12  32  40  45  50  52  51  48  44  39
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   3   9   25  32  36  44  45  43  39  35  30
Sfc pres (in)...030 033 035 036 036 036 035 034 033 031 029 028

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Kevin Simpson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510839.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.simpson@ncagr.gov