Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
410
FNUS72 KMHX 051121
FWSMHX
Spot Forecast for Mashoes 111 Rx...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
621 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on March 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION....
A strong cold front will approach the area today and move through
tonight. Strong southerly winds will develop this morning ahead
of the front with gusts around 40-50 mph. Higher gusts up
to 60 mph could also mix to the surface in heavier showers.
Damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes will also be possible
along a line of heavy pre-frontal showers that will move across
the burn area between 5 and 7 pm. Rainfall amounts around an
inch is expected with this system.
Gusty west to northwest winds to around 30 mph continue on Thursday
as high pressure builds into the area ushering in drier airmass.
High pressure slides off the Southeast Coast on Friday with
another frontal system expected to move across the area over this
weekend.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the
late morning and early afternoon. Chance of
rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
late in the afternoon, then rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. South winds 17 to 28 mph. Gusts up to
35 mph increasing to 45 mph in the late morning
and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 24 to 33 mph increasing to 35 to 39 mph
in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 48759 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 57.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.49 to 29.93 inHg.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90 86 88 89 92 92 93 93 93 93 96
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC DEF DEF
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC
Temp............57 59 61 63 64 64 64 65 65 64 63
RH..............82 74 71 70 66 68 71 72 74 78 83
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..20 21 23 24 25 26 26 27 27 26 26
20 FT wind gust.27 27 32 36 36 36 41 41 41 36 36
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.24 28 30 32 33 35 36 38 39 38 36
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
ADI.............28 36 40 39 41 41 42 45 51 57 55
Vrate mph-ft/1K.21 28 32 30 32 31 31 34 40 49 49
Sfc pres (in)...993 991 989 986 982 976 970 964 958 953 949
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Rain
showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
evening.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 14 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 35
mph early in the evening. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing Height.......Min 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 24 to 32 mph shifting to the southwest 21
to 22 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 16675 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 19.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.38 to 29.46 inHg.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........95 94 83 59 50 44 31 25 26 27 28 35
Weather cov.....DEF CHC CHC SCH CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............62 59 58 56 56 56 55 53 52 51 49 48
RH..............86 85 90 90 90 88 90 89 86 85 86 85
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..24 23 21 20 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.32 32 27 27 23 23 23 23 23 18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.32 30 29 24 22 22 22 21 22 22 22 22
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............29 33 26 22 20 20 20 19 20 20 20 20
Vrate mph-ft/1K.40 40 33 22 19 20 21 20 25 21 26 25
Sfc pres (in)...946 943 942 941 940 939 938 938 938 938 939 941
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Isolated rain showers early in
the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 14 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 22 to 31 mph increasing to around 32 mph
late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 141565 mph-ft increasing to Max 168130
mph-ft late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 101.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.43 to 29.57 inHg.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50 58 49 33 25 24 21 19 23 28 29 24
Weather cov..... ISO ISO ISO
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............47 48 47 48 48 48 49 49 50 50 50 49
RH..............85 83 78 71 68 65 60 60 56 56 56 56
20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..17 18 20 21 22 22 22 22 23 23 24 24
20 FT wind gust.23 23 27 27 27 27 27 27 32 32 32 32
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.6 1.9 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.2 4.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.22 23 24 28 28 26 26 28 29 31 32 32
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............34 39 47 64 73 73 75 83 90 96 101 96
Vrate mph-ft/1K.29 37 48 77 97 105 114 128 142 156 168 152
Sfc pres (in)...943 945 947 950 951 951 951 951 951 952 954 957
$$
Forecaster...Kennedy
Requested by...Caleb Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2504980.0/MHX
.DELDT 03/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL caleb_jones@fws.gov