465
FNUS72 KMHX 231045
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Sandy Run Hancock N...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
645 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on September 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain north of the burn area today. This will
produce northeast winds this morning, switching to southeast this
afternoon with speeds remaining below 10 mph. Min RH values will
be 55-60% with high temperatures in the low 80s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northeast winds becoming southeast around 6
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 19895 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 24.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.96 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  35  36  36  35  33  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  79  80  81  82  81  81
RH..............69  64  62  60  58  60  60
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   5   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5           5   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.5 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.1 2.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   NE  NE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   3   5   5   6   6   6
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............14  11  16  19  24  22  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.11  9   13  15  20  18  11
Sfc pres (in)...996 995 994 993 991 989 988

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 1954 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 2.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.93 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  24  21  22  24  25  33  50  59  61  65  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............79  76  74  72  71  70  69  69  68  67  67  67
RH..............64  71  76  81  84  84  87  90  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............7   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Sfc pres (in)...988 988 989 990 992 993 993 993 992 992 993 993

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
LAL.................1 until 0800, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 32084 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 39.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.91 to 29.97 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  60  57  55  50  47  48  49  50  50  48  46
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............66  66  69  72  76  78  79  80  80  80  80  79
RH..............97  100 90  84  79  76  74  72  72  72  72  74
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.1 2.8 2.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   7   8   9   9   9   10  10
LVORI...........8   9   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............3   5   5   13  20  25  34  37  39  38  35  32
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2   3   3   10  16  20  28  30  32  30  28  25
Sfc pres (in)...994 995 995 996 997 997 996 995 994 993 992 991

$$
Forecaster...Lonka
Requested by...Laura Webster
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422885.0/MHX
.DELDT 09/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL laura.webster@ncparks.gov