498
FNUS76 KMFR 082039
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Elk...IA LIFC
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
139 PM PDT Tue Jul 8 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 PDT on July 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today,  thunderstorms are expected to develop in the
area. Best chances will be north of the fire. However, cannot rule out
isolated thunderstorms nearby. Gusty southwest winds are expected this
afternoon into this evening. Also strong, gusty outflow winds
are possible near thunderstorms today with gusts around 30 to 45 mph.

The slight chance for thunderstorms continues on Wednesday afternoon.
Temperatures will be slightly cooler and humidities slightly higher
on Wednesday. Warm and dry weather is expected Thursday followed by
hot temperatures Friday into the weekend.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 4 to 7 mph with gusts to 12 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 14 mph with gusts to 22 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 18 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      2 PM      5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR
Weather cov.....          S CHC
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          ISOLTD
CWR.............0         0
Chc of ltng (%).5         20
Temp............85        87
RH..............17        15
20 FT wind......S 10G18   SW 13G21
Eye level wind..S 4G10    SW 6G12
Mix hgt (ft)....10000     9500
Transport wind..S 18      SW 18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 3 to 7 mph in the evening with
                    gusts to 12 mph, becoming light
                    around midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 14 mph in the evening with
                    gusts to 21 mph, becoming  light
                    around midnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph late in the evening,
                    then shifting to the southwest 3 to 5 mph
                    overnight.
CWR.................6 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD    ISOLTD
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).20        15        0         0
Temp............82        69        62        55
RH..............18        27        45        60
20 FT wind......SW 12G20  SW 6G10   VRB 3G6   VRB 3G6
Eye level wind..SW 6G12   SW 3G6    VRB 1G3   VRB 1G3
Mix hgt (ft)....9500      1500      200       100
Transport wind..SW 18     SW 12     NW 6      SW 3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the morning and
                    afternoon.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west 3 to 4 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    4 to 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west 8
                    to 14 mph late in the morning.
CWR.................6 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR     CLEAR     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....                    S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    S CHC     ISOLTD
CWR.............10        10        10        10
Chc of ltng (%).0         0         20        15
Temp............53        63        72        79
RH..............60        47        33        25
20 FT wind......S 2G5     S 3G6     W 6G8     W 8G13
Eye level wind..S 1G2     S 1G3     W 2G5     W 4G7
Mix hgt (ft)....300       4400      8400      9500
Transport wind..S 5       SW 5      W 8       W 10

$$
Forecaster...CLARSTROM
Requested by...Brad Smith
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517592.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov