642
FNUS76 KMFR 041656
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Jacket...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
956 AM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 PDT on July 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An upper level system will bring cooler than normal
temperatures and higher daytime humidities today. Thunderstorm
activity should remain well east of the burn site today, but an
isolated shower or two is not out of the question this afternoon.
If nothing else, expect some cumulus buildups today. A stable and
drier air mass follows for the rest of the weekend with no
thunderstorms in the forecast. A strong warming trend starts
Saturday along with the return of low daytime humidities.
Thunderstorm chances could return to the forecast for the first
half of next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of lightning.4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 5-7 mph with gusts to 15 mph this afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 8-10 mph with gusts to 20 mph this afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of lightning.2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Eye level winds.....North 4-6 with gusts up to 10 mph in the evening, easing
                    overnight becoming light and variable.
Wind (20 ft)........North 8-10 with gusts up to 15 mph in the evening, easing
                    overnight becoming light and variable.
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 5-7 mph with gust
                    to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........West 5 to 6 mph, becoming northwest and increasing to 8-10 mph
                    with gusts to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...FIRMIN
Requested by...Terry Williamson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517317.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL terry.williamson@usda.gov