Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
365
FNUS76 KMFR 020511
FWSMFR
Spot Forecast for Dads Creek Fire...Douglas Forest Protective Association
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1011 PM PDT Mon Sep 1 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Above normal temperatures will continue through
Thursday. Low pressure offshore from central California will move
northeast into northern California on Tuesday with a surge of
moisture aloft into the area. This will result in isolated
coverage of thunderstorms late Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening. With the trough north of the site on Wednesday, drier air
and weak ridging at the upper levels is expected to produce only
cumulus buildups late in the day. The approach of another trough
will bring another slight chance of late day thunderstorms on
Thursday.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Increasing clouds with
isolated thunderstorms after 3 PM.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming north up to 3 mph late in
the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming north 6 to 10 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east around
3 mph early in the morning, then shifting to
the south 5 to 6 mph late in the morning
shifting to the north around 9 mph late in the
afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
TIME (PDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR PC PC
Weather cov..... ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 15 15
Temp............55 57 62 68 75 80 85 89 90 91 89
RH..............81 73 62 51 41 36 28 24 25 25 27
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 4 3 3 3 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 11 11 11 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 4.9 4.9 4.9 7.2 7.2 7.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.N E E E S S S S S S N
Transp wind spd.5 3 3 3 6 6 6 5 5 5 9
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) with isolated
evening thunderstorms then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Chance of lightning.10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
CWR.................5 percent.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
Chc of ltng (%).15 15 15 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............87 83 78 76 74 72 70 69 67 65 63 62
RH..............31 36 44 50 55 58 61 64 66 69 71 72
20 FT wind dir..N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT wind gust.10 10 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 6
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming north around 2 mph late in
the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming north 5 to 8 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 mph shifting to the east
around 8 mph late in the afternoon, then
shifting to the north around 9 mph late in the
afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC PC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............61 61 63 67 71 76 80 83 86 88 89 88
RH..............73 73 70 63 54 46 40 34 31 28 27 29
20 FT wind dir..NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW N N N N N N N N N N
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 2.0 2.0 2.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 2.6
Transp wind dir.N N N N N NE NE NE E E E N
Transp wind spd.6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 9
$$
Forecaster...WEYGAND
Requested by...Paul J Ritter
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521093.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL paul.ritter@odf.oregon.gov,brandon.j.kerns@odf.oregon.gov