Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
837
FWUS46 KMFR 172301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
301 PM PST SUN NOV 17 2024
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 65 65 65 60 85 85 60 60 60 65 75 90 85 90 90
TEMPERATURE 26 24 21 19 19 18 19 19 20 19 18 18 19 21 19 19 21
MIN/MAX TEMP 17 21 17 23
WIND DIR SW W W W W NW W SW W W SW SW SW SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 27 23 23 19 25 21 16 21 13 13 20 21 13 17 19 27 37
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 44 61
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 40 40 40 40 70 70 40 40 20 20 20 20 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.02 0.05 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.7 1.8 0.2 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 4.1 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.6 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.7 3.0
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 65 65 65 60 80 80 60 60 55 65 80 85 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 26 23 19 18 18 18 22 21 19 15 15 15 17 19 23 21 21
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 23 14 23
WIND DIR SW W W W SW NW W SW W S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 20 18 17 14 19 17 12 17 10 11 14 16 10 13 14 21 28
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 40 40 40 40 70 70 40 40 20 20 20 20 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.9 1.3 0.1 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 4.1 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.2 2.6 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.7 3.0
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 60 60 65 60 85 85 60 60 60 70 80 90 85 90 90
TEMPERATURE 26 24 21 19 19 18 18 19 20 19 19 18 19 21 18 20 21
MIN/MAX TEMP 17 21 17 23
WIND DIR SW W W W W NW W SW W W SW SW SW SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 28 23 23 19 24 21 16 21 13 13 20 21 13 17 19 28 37
WIND GUST (MPH) 61
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 40 40 40 40 70 70 40 40 20 20 20 20 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.5 0.2 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 4.1 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.6 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.0
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 65 65 65 65 85 85 60 60 60 70 80 85 85 90 90
TEMPERATURE 18 13 9 8 8 8 9 10 8 8 9 9 10 12 11 12 12
MIN/MAX TEMP 8 11 8 15
WIND DIR W W W W W NW W W W W W W SW SW SW S S
WIND (MPH) 49 43 34 33 39 36 32 34 27 31 33 31 20 28 29 44 58
WIND GUST (MPH) 103 89 57 61 67 72 74 58 67 78 62 55 57 50 82 112
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 40 40 40 40 70 70 40 40 20 20 20 20 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 2.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.4
12 HOUR SNOW 2.8 2.1 0.3 1.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 4.1 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.2 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.6 3.2 3.8 3.0
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 65 65 60 65 90 90 60 60 60 70 80 90 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 24 24 20 18 17 17 18 20 19 17 16 16 18 19 18 19 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 17 21 15 22
WIND DIR SW W W W SW W W SW W SW SW S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 23 17 18 16 18 17 13 17 12 11 14 17 16 18 25 28 32
WIND GUST (MPH) 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 40 40 40 40 80 80 40 40 20 20 20 20 50 50 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.8 4.1 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.8 2.5 3.0 2.7 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.1
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 60 60 65 60 80 80 60 60 60 60 80 90 85 90 90
TEMPERATURE 31 30 28 26 26 26 28 28 27 24 23 22 24 26 26 26 27
MIN/MAX TEMP 24 30 22 29
WIND DIR SW W W W W W SW W W W SW SW S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 8 13 17 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 40 40 40 40 70 70 40 40 20 20 20 20 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 3.9 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.0
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 60 60 65 60 80 80 60 60 55 65 75 85 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 29 25 22 20 20 20 24 24 23 20 19 20 22 23 23 23 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 25 19 25
WIND DIR SW NW W W W NW W SW W S S S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 21 18 17 14 19 17 11 17 9 11 16 16 13 17 21 26 28
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 40 40 40 40 70 70 40 40 20 20 20 20 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.9 3.9 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.0 2.6 3.0 2.6 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.0
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 100 100 100 100 100 100 85 85 90 90 90 90 95
TEMPERATURE 25 21 21 21 21 20 19 20 19 20 20 19 21 22 22 24 25
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 21 19 27
WIND DIR W W W SW W W W W W SW SW SW S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 23 19 18 24 25 18 20 17 13 12 19 20 13 14 17 21 27
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 70 70 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.40 0.37 0.42 0.20 0.17 0.12 0.10 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 5.5 5.2 6.6 3.2 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 10.7 9.8 4.2 2.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.1 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.7 3.1 4.1 3.6
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 100 100 100 100 100 100 80 85 90 90 85 90 95
TEMPERATURE 25 20 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 21 23 24
MIN/MAX TEMP 17 20 17 25
WIND DIR W W W SW W W W SW W SW SW SW S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 24 20 18 24 25 19 20 16 13 12 19 19 13 14 17 21 27
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 90 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 70 70 70 70 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.40 0.28 0.30 0.16 0.13 0.10 0.07 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 5.5 3.9 4.8 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.2
12 HOUR SNOW 9.4 7.4 3.5 2.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.6 3.0 4.1 3.6
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 90 90 95 95 100 100 90 90 80 80 85 90 85 90 95
TEMPERATURE 30 26 24 24 23 22 22 23 23 22 22 21 22 21 24 27 28
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 24 20 29
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W SW SW S S S S S SE
WIND (MPH) 16 13 12 10 10 9 9 11 6 6 8 8 11 13 16 16 16
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 90 90 90 90 100 100 90 90 50 50 60 60 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.38 0.24 0.22 0.16 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 4.7 3.2 3.3 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 7.9 5.6 2.2 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.7 3.3 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.9 3.9 3.5
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 100 100 100 100 95 95 85 85 85 90 90 90 95
TEMPERATURE 24 21 21 21 21 20 19 20 19 20 20 19 21 22 23 25 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 21 19 27
WIND DIR W W W SW W W SW SW W SW SW SW S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 20 18 19 21 24 18 19 17 14 14 19 19 14 17 19 25 32
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 36 41 47 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 80 80 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.40 0.29 0.32 0.19 0.15 0.10 0.07 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 5.2 3.9 5.0 3.0 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 9.1 8.0 3.6 1.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.2 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.2 4.0 3.6
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90 90 95
TEMPERATURE 24 21 21 21 21 20 19 20 19 20 20 19 21 22 23 25 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 21 19 28
WIND DIR W W W SW W W SW SW W SW SW SW S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 18 17 19 23 24 17 20 18 13 14 20 19 13 16 19 25 33
WIND GUST (MPH) 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 80 80 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.36 0.29 0.35 0.19 0.15 0.11 0.08 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 4.7 3.9 5.4 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.6
12 HOUR SNOW 8.6 8.4 3.8 1.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 3.9 3.0 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.3 4.0 3.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/18/24 TUESDAY 11/19/24
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 85 85 95 95 100 100 80 80 75 70 85 85 85 90 90
TEMPERATURE 26 23 20 20 20 20 20 22 21 20 21 21 22 23 23 26 26
MIN/MAX TEMP 19 23 20 28
WIND DIR NW W W SW W W SW SW W SW S S S S SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 31 17 17 18 21 16 12 12 11 11 12 11 16 19 28 29 31
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 100 70 70 90 90 100 100 70 70 40 40 50 50 70 70 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.24 0.10 0.15 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 3.0 1.4 2.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 4.4 4.1 0.4 0.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 4.7 3.3 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.6 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 3.8 3.5
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN