Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
286
FWUS46 KMFR 162301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT FRI MAY 16 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 85 75 80 30 35 40 30 30 35 25 20 15 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 51 46 42 40 36 36 37 39 39 34 32 31 29 31 36 39 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 41 27 41
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 6 6 11 13 12 18 18 13 14 20 27 31 33 32 32 31 33
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 54 51 51 50 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 20 30 20 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.2 9.2 8.6 7.1 6.3 6.5 6.9 6.8 6.3 5.4 4.6 4.0 4.2 5.0 5.8 6.3
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 80 80 75 80 30 30 35 35 35 35 25 20 15 10 10 0
TEMPERATURE 52 48 43 41 38 37 38 40 40 35 33 31 30 32 36 40 41
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 42 28 42
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 6 8 10 12 14 13 12 13 16 20 24 25 25 24 24 26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 10 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 9.2 9.2 8.6 7.1 6.2 6.2 6.7 6.7 6.2 5.2 4.4 4.0 4.1 4.9 5.8 6.3
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 85 80 80 35 30 40 30 30 30 25 15 15 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 51 46 42 40 37 37 37 38 38 34 32 30 29 31 36 39 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 40 27 41
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
WIND (MPH) 6 6 10 13 12 18 18 13 14 20 26 31 33 32 32 31 33
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 50 54 51 51 50 54
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 20 30 20 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.2 9.2 8.7 7.2 6.4 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.4 5.5 4.7 4.1 4.3 5.1 5.8 6.3
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 80 80 80 85 40 40 50 50 50 35 25 20 15 5 10 5
TEMPERATURE 38 35 31 30 26 25 26 27 27 24 22 21 19 21 26 28 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 29 18 30
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N
WIND (MPH) 11 16 23 27 24 29 25 26 29 37 48 54 56 56 55 57 63
WIND GUST (MPH) 29 40 51 65 51 51 44 57 69 85 98 109 110 110 112 115 115
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 10 20 30 10 10 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 9.2 9.2 8.6 7.1 6.3 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.3 5.2 4.5 4.0 4.1 4.9 5.8 6.3
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC BK SC SC SC FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 80 85 80 65 50 40 40 55 50 40 30 20 10 10 5
TEMPERATURE 52 48 42 39 36 35 35 38 38 34 30 28 27 29 34 38 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 40 26 40
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 3 6 8 11 13 14 14 13 14 18 20 23 24 24 23 23 24
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 30 40 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R S T S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.2 9.2 8.9 7.5 6.4 6.3 6.7 6.7 6.2 5.3 4.6 4.1 4.2 4.9 5.8 6.3
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV BK OV FW FW FW SC BK SC SC FW FW CL CL CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 75 80 70 80 25 20 25 35 55 50 35 15 10 5 5 0
TEMPERATURE 61 55 49 46 43 43 46 49 48 41 38 35 34 36 43 50 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 51 33 52
WIND DIR N NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 8 11 16 17 16 14 16 16 14 13 13 12 14 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 10 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.5 9.1 8.3 6.9 6.0 6.2 6.6 6.7 6.3 5.5 4.8 4.3 4.3 4.9 5.9 6.4
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV SC BK BK BK OV BK SC SC FW FW FW CL
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 75 80 75 80 35 55 60 60 70 65 50 35 20 10 10 5
TEMPERATURE 54 49 43 41 38 39 38 40 40 36 32 31 29 33 37 41 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 41 28 44
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 9 10 10 12 16 14 12 14 17 23 24 26 26 25 25 26
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 10 20 10 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.3 9.1 8.1 7.0 6.0 6.3 6.6 6.8 6.3 5.5 4.8 4.3 4.3 4.9 5.8 6.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 85 90 90 85 85 85 85 90 80 85 75 65 50 50 40
TEMPERATURE 48 43 38 36 34 31 31 33 33 31 29 27 25 25 28 32 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 35 25 34
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 9 9 11 12 11 12 14 16 18 19 21 21 20 23 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 40 80 80 50 40 60 60 30 30 20 20 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.09 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.05 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.2 1.1 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.0 7.9 7.6 6.7 6.1 6.0 6.2 6.2 5.7 4.9 4.3 4.0 3.9 4.3 5.1 5.6
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 90 90 90 90 80 75 80 80 85 80 80 70 60 45 35 35
TEMPERATURE 47 42 37 36 34 32 32 33 33 31 29 27 26 26 28 32 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 35 26 35
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 8 8 13 14 13 13 16 16 18 19 21 21 21 23 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 80 70 50 40 50 50 20 20 20 20 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.08 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.03 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.0 7.9 7.6 6.7 6.2 6.0 6.3 6.2 5.7 5.0 4.4 4.0 3.9 4.3 5.2 5.7
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 90 90 90 85 75 75 85 90 80 80 70 55 50 45 30
TEMPERATURE 54 48 42 40 38 36 37 38 38 36 33 32 30 30 34 39 42
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 40 30 42
WIND DIR W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 5 4 8 9 9 10 10 12 11 10 10 12 12 12 12 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 70 50 40 40 40 40 10 10 20 20 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.08 0.13 0.11 0.08 0.02 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.1 8.3 7.8 6.7 6.0 5.9 6.2 6.3 5.7 5.0 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.4 5.3 5.8
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 90 90 85 80 75 65 60 50 45
TEMPERATURE 47 43 39 39 36 34 33 34 34 32 30 29 27 28 29 33 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 36 27 34
WIND DIR NW NW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 8 10 10 11 10 11 11 11 13 16 19 19 21 23 21 23 21
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 40 41 41 40 43 41
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 50 90 70 50 50 80 80 40 40 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.11 0.19 0.13 0.15 0.04 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.0 7.9 7.6 6.6 6.0 5.8 6.0 6.1 5.6 4.8 4.3 4.0 3.8 4.2 5.1 5.6
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 90 95 90 85 80 70 60 55 50
TEMPERATURE 47 43 39 38 35 34 32 34 33 32 29 28 27 27 29 32 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 35 27 33
WIND DIR W NW W W W W W W W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 6 9 9 10 9 10 9 11 13 14 18 17 20 21 20 21 19
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 50 90 70 50 50 80 80 40 40 20 20 10 10 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.08 0.18 0.15 0.17 0.05 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.7 1.5 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.5 6.6 6.0 5.8 6.0 6.0 5.5 4.8 4.2 3.9 3.8 4.1 5.0 5.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 05/17/25 SUNDAY 05/18/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 85 85 90 90 80 80 65 80 85 80 75 70 55 35 30 15
TEMPERATURE 49 45 42 39 37 35 34 35 35 32 31 30 29 31 34 37 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 37 29 39
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 9 11 12 11 12 13 12 12 13 17 21 23 23 24 24 24 25
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 30 40 30 40 10 10 5 5 0 0 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.11 0.22 0.11 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.6 8.4 8.3 7.5 6.3 5.8 5.8 6.2 6.3 5.7 5.0 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.4 5.3 5.9
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN