


Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
499 FWUS46 KMFR 121101 AVGMFR AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 401 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2025 ...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 50 95 70 85 90 75 85 85 90 95 90 90 85 70 80 TEMPERATURE 32 32 38 37 35 31 31 30 29 26 25 26 28 27 30 30 29 MAX/MIN TEMP 39 25 28 27 WIND DIR N N NW NW W NW W SE SW S S SE E E E E NE WIND (MPH) 12 12 10 12 13 6 8 8 10 10 13 17 11 17 18 13 10 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 80 80 70 70 50 50 40 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.54 0.27 0.08 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.5 2.6 0.7 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 8.0 3.3 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.7 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.6 5.2 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.3 ...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER FW FW BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 50 95 70 80 85 80 85 85 90 95 90 85 85 70 80 TEMPERATURE 26 27 39 39 36 29 29 30 27 28 30 31 31 29 28 28 27 MAX/MIN TEMP 41 26 31 26 WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW NW E S S SE E NE NE NE E N WIND (MPH) 10 10 8 10 11 4 5 5 8 6 10 13 9 17 17 14 8 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 80 80 70 70 50 50 40 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.20 0.48 0.25 0.07 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.1 1.9 0.5 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 5.8 2.4 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.6 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.3 ...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 15 25 50 95 70 85 90 70 85 90 90 95 90 90 85 75 80 TEMPERATURE 32 32 35 36 35 31 31 31 29 26 25 25 27 26 29 29 28 MAX/MIN TEMP 39 25 28 26 WIND DIR N N N NW W NW W NW SW S S SE E E E E NE WIND (MPH) 12 11 9 12 13 6 8 9 10 11 13 17 12 17 18 13 11 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.52 0.26 0.08 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.1 2.3 0.6 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 7.3 2.9 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.6 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.6 5.1 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.3 ...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 20 30 55 95 70 80 90 85 85 85 90 95 90 85 80 70 80 TEMPERATURE 23 24 30 27 24 21 21 21 19 18 17 19 20 18 19 20 19 MAX/MIN TEMP 30 17 20 18 WIND DIR NW NW NW W W W SW W SW SW S S SE E SE SE SE WIND (MPH) 21 21 19 21 23 11 11 14 18 16 20 28 18 25 24 19 16 WIND GUST (MPH) 43 41 41 48 43 34 36 41 55 36 43 41 33 PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 80 80 70 70 50 50 40 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.24 0.56 0.30 0.09 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.3 3.2 0.9 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.9 9.0 4.1 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.7 6.0 5.9 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.3 ...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 20 25 60 80 75 80 90 70 85 85 90 90 85 90 75 75 80 TEMPERATURE 30 29 36 38 36 33 33 32 31 29 27 28 29 29 31 31 30 MAX/MIN TEMP 40 28 30 29 WIND DIR NW NW N NW NW NW NW SW S S S SE E NE NE NE N WIND (MPH) 12 11 8 9 12 11 5 9 9 11 16 16 13 17 18 13 8 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 20 20 50 50 80 80 90 90 70 70 50 50 40 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.34 0.20 0.04 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 1.4 0.3 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 4.1 1.7 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.6 5.5 6.1 6.0 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.2 5.4 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.3 ...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER FW FW SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 10 15 40 85 70 75 70 70 85 85 90 95 90 85 85 80 85 TEMPERATURE 36 37 43 46 43 38 38 37 35 37 34 34 35 33 35 35 34 MAX/MIN TEMP 48 33 37 32 WIND DIR N N N N N NW NW NW S SE SE SE S NE SE SE E WIND (MPH) 9 8 8 10 11 14 10 3 4 4 8 6 5 5 9 8 4 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 90 90 70 70 60 60 50 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.44 0.25 0.09 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.8 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.5 5.9 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.0 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.2 ...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER SC SC SC OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV CLOUD COVER (%) 30 35 45 90 65 85 80 85 85 85 90 95 90 90 85 70 80 TEMPERATURE 32 35 37 39 38 33 33 34 33 31 29 30 30 28 30 31 30 MAX/MIN TEMP 40 29 31 28 WIND DIR N N N NW NW NW NW SW S S SE SE E NE E NE N WIND (MPH) 13 12 10 12 12 13 9 5 6 9 14 16 11 12 17 14 8 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 5 10 10 40 40 80 80 90 90 70 70 50 50 40 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.32 0.21 0.05 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.5 0.4 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 4.0 1.9 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.7 5.5 5.9 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.2 ...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 85 90 95 95 95 95 90 85 80 70 65 60 65 60 TEMPERATURE 31 29 31 32 32 30 31 30 29 27 29 33 34 33 34 32 31 MAX/MIN TEMP 34 27 35 30 WIND DIR W W W W W SW SW S S SE E E E E E E E WIND (MPH) 17 13 12 13 12 12 12 11 6 8 13 18 21 23 24 19 16 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 30 50 80 80 90 90 90 90 70 70 30 30 20 20 20 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.25 0.30 0.21 0.11 0.01 0.00 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 5.8 3.4 0.1 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.7 5.0 5.8 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.4 ...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 85 85 85 90 95 95 95 90 85 80 70 70 60 70 65 TEMPERATURE 30 27 30 31 31 30 30 30 28 26 28 32 33 32 33 31 30 MAX/MIN TEMP 33 26 34 29 WIND DIR W W W W W SW SW S S SE E E E E NE NE NE WIND (MPH) 18 13 12 12 12 12 11 11 8 8 11 16 18 18 17 13 12 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 30 50 70 70 90 90 90 90 70 70 30 30 20 20 20 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.21 0.20 0.12 0.02 0.00 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 3.9 3.5 0.1 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.9 5.4 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.2 5.1 4.8 5.0 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.4 ...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK CLOUD COVER (%) 90 85 90 90 75 90 95 90 95 95 90 85 70 70 55 50 60 TEMPERATURE 34 31 33 36 36 34 34 34 32 31 32 36 39 37 35 35 32 MAX/MIN TEMP 38 30 39 31 WIND DIR W W W W W W W SW S SE E E E E E E NE WIND (MPH) 11 8 6 9 11 10 8 5 6 5 9 11 10 14 14 12 13 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 60 60 90 90 90 90 80 80 50 50 30 30 20 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.17 0.20 0.04 0.00 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.5 2.2 0.0 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.4 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.6 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.5 ...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 90 90 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 70 65 55 50 55 TEMPERATURE 31 30 30 30 30 30 31 31 29 28 28 31 33 32 33 32 31 MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 34 30 WIND DIR W W W W W SW SW S S SE E E E E E E E WIND (MPH) 17 12 12 12 12 11 11 9 6 8 11 16 17 20 21 18 13 WIND GUST (MPH) 37 41 PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 30 70 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80 40 40 20 20 20 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.25 0.18 0.11 0.02 0.00 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 4.2 2.5 0.1 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.7 5.0 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.4 ...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 90 90 95 100 95 95 95 95 85 85 65 65 55 45 55 TEMPERATURE 30 29 30 30 30 30 30 29 28 27 28 32 34 33 33 32 31 MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 34 30 WIND DIR W W W W W SW SW SW S E E E E E E E E WIND (MPH) 16 12 13 12 12 11 11 9 4 8 11 16 18 20 21 19 13 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 30 70 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80 40 40 20 20 20 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.26 0.17 0.06 0.01 0.00 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 4.7 2.2 0.0 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.9 5.7 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.3 ...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)... DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25 TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 80 85 70 85 95 90 90 90 90 85 85 75 65 50 50 TEMPERATURE 33 33 33 34 34 31 33 35 31 30 27 28 29 30 31 32 31 MAX/MIN TEMP 35 29 30 30 WIND DIR NW N NW W NW NW SW S S SE SE SE E E E E E WIND (MPH) 13 11 11 12 11 12 9 10 6 8 11 14 9 16 18 13 12 WIND GUST (MPH) PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 20 50 50 80 80 90 90 70 70 50 50 30 30 20 PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S 6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 0.22 0.20 0.03 0.00 6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.5 3.9 0.2 SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.5 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.7 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.4 $$ --- PRECIP TYPE CODES --- CODE TYPE T THUNDERSTORMS R RAIN S SNOW I SLEET Z FREEZING RAIN